The Florida Gators (18-7) travel to face off against the Alabama Crimson Tide (18-7) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at Coleman Coliseum in Tuscaloosa and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Florida Gators vs Alabama Crimson Tide
The Florida Gators Are Coming Off A Win
Florida enters this game as an underdog, and they have been an underdog in five of their 25 games this season. The Gators have gone 2-3 in those games, compared to a record of 16-4 when they are favored.
Florida has been much better at home this season, going 13-1 compared to a 5-6 mark on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +15.2, compared to -1.4 on the road.
As the underdog this season, Florida has gone 3-2 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 6-5 and they are 3-0 ATS in their last three road games. Overall, the Gators have a 12-13 ATS record this year.
Today’s over/under line of 173.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Florida’s games this season (155.8). So far, 20 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and the average scoring total in those games is 158 points.
The Alabama Crimson Tide Are Coming Off A Win
Alabama enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 19 of their 25 games this season. They have a record of 17-2 when favored, compared to just 1-5 when they have been the underdog.
At home, the Crimson Tide have been dominant, going 12-1 this season. Their average scoring margin at home is an impressive +25.2 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, they have gone 9-1.
Alabama has been an excellent team against the spread this season, going 16-9 overall. They have been especially good vs. the spread at home, going 11-2. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Crimson Tide have gone 9-1 vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record in Alabama games is 18-7, and today’s over/under line of 173.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (160.2). So far, 16 of their games have finished with less points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0, and the average scoring total in those games is 184 points.
Florida Offense Breakdown
Florida’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Georgia, finishing the game with a total of 88 points. Their season average is now 84.8 points per game. Walter Clayton Jr. is leading the team in scoring at 16.4 points per contest. Zyon Pullin has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.5 going into the game.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Walter Clayton Jr. (G) | 16.4 | 3.6 | 2.6 |
| Zyon Pullin (G) | 15.5 | 4.0 | 4.7 |
| Tyrese Samuel (F) | 12.9 | 7.8 | 1.7 |
Alabama Offense Breakdown
Alabama’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 100 points vs. Texas A&M. Overall, they hit 52.1% of their shots from the field and went 8/13 from the free-throw line. Leading the team in scoring was Mark Sears with 23 points. Rylan Griffen also added 17 points for the Crimson Tide.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Sears (G) | 20.6 | 4.3 | 3.9 |
| Aaron Estrada (G) | 12.7 | 4.9 | 4.0 |
| Grant Nelson (F) | 11.9 | 5.5 | 1.8 |
Florida Team Defense
Facing Alabama, Florida aims for a better defensive performance, given their current average of 76.8 points allowed per game (284th). Florida’s three-point defense is currently 126th in the country at 6.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 43.7% of their shots vs. Florida.
Alabama Team Defense
Coming into today’s game, the Alabama defense is giving up an average of 76.8 points per contest. Against Texas A&M in their most recent game, the Alabama defense gave up a total of 75 points while allowing Texas A&M to hit 52% of their shots.
Gators vs Crimson Tide Trends
- When looking at their past five road matchups, Florida has an ATS record of 4-1 while averaging 78 per game. The team went 3-2 overall in these games.
- Through their last ten home games, Alabama has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 5-5 while averaging 84 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Gators have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.
- The Crimson Tide have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
Gators vs Crimson Tide Prediction
For a pick on the point-spread in this Crimson Tide vs. Gators matchup, our bet is to grab the Gators at +8.5. Even though our projections have the Crimson Tide winning 75-70, we see the Gators as the play on the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 173.5, and our model predicts the Gators and Crimson Tide to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 21, 2024 Alabama Crimson Tide, Florida Gators