Florida Gators vs. Auburn Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers Prediction 3/17/2024

The Florida Gators (21-10) travel to face off against the Auburn Tigers (24-7) on Sunday, March 17th. This game will be played at Bridgestone Arena in Nashville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Florida Gators vs Auburn Tigers

The Florida Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida heads into today’s game as the underdog, as they are 4-4 this season in that role. On the road, the Gators have gone 7-8, and they are coming off a 102-88 win over Alabama.

Over their last 10 games, Florida has gone 4-6 on the road, and they are 21-10 overall this season. They have won their last three games, and their record in Southeastern Conference play is 14-6.

As the underdog this season, Florida has a record of 5-3 vs. the spread. On the road, the Gators have gone 8-7 ATS this year and are 6-4 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread. Overall, Florida’s ATS mark is 15-18 this season.

Florida’s over/under record for the season is 21-11-1 and their games have averaged 163.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (157). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 180 points and their over/under record over their last 10 games is 9-1.

The Auburn Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into this game, Auburn has been the favorite in all 31 of their games this season, and they have gone 26-5 in those games. They have been even better at home, going 17-1 with an average scoring margin of +20.4 points per game.

Overall, Auburn is 24-7 this season, and they have won five straight games. In their last game, they beat South Carolina by a score of 86-55. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 9-1.

As the favorite this season, Auburn has gone 21-10 vs. the spread. However, their ATS mark as the favorite has dipped to 1-2 in their last 3 games and 6-4 in their last 10. At home this year, the Tigers are 12-6 vs. the spread.

On the season, Auburn’s over/under record is 14-19. Today’s over/under line of 155.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games this season (150.3). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 149 points compared to their season average of 151.4 points per game. Over their last 10 games, their games have averaged 154 points.

Florida Offense Breakdown

Florida is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 102 points vs. Alabama. This figure is more than their season average of 85.4 points per game. Walter Clayton Jr. is leading the team in scoring at 17.3 points per contest. Zyon Pullin has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 15.6 going into the game.

Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 17.3 3.7 2.6
Zyon Pullin (G) 15.6 3.9 4.9
Tyrese Samuel (F) 14.0 7.5 1.7

Auburn Offense Breakdown

Auburn’s offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 86 points against South Carolina. They had an overall field goal percentage of 49.3% and made 9/17 free throws. One area that the Auburn offense has been good this season is getting to the line. Currently, they are 25th in free-throw attempts per contest. Overall, they have a field goal percentage of 47%.

Johni Broome (F) 16.3 8.5 2.1
Jaylin Williams (F) 12.6 4.4 1.9
Chad Baker (G) 10.2 3.8 2.3

Florida Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Florida defense is giving up an average of 78.3 points per contest. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Florida’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 43.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.7% this season.

Auburn Team Defense

At this time, the Tigers’ defense is positioned 63rd in the country, permitting 67.7 points per game. Auburn’s three-point defense is currently 51st in the country at 5.9 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 38.1% of their shots vs. Auburn.

Gators vs Tigers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Florida has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 85 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Auburn has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 87 points per game.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Gators have a straight up record of 2-3 and an ATS mark of 4-1.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Auburn has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.

Gators vs Tigers Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Tigers, with a final score of 76-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Tigers at -6.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 155.5 and given that our model is projecting 145 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.