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Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines Prediction 12/19/2023

The Florida Gators (7-3) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (6-5) on Tuesday, December 19th. This game will be played at Spectrum Center in Charlotte and televised on ESPN. Michigan is coming off a win in their previous game, while Florida is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Wake Forest. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Florida Gators vs Michigan Wolverines

The Florida Gators Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Through their first 10 games, Florida has a 7-3 overall record. In their last five road games, which includes games from last year, Florida has a 2-3 record. Florida has a subpar ATS record at 2-5. Up to this point, the Gators are 1-3 when playing away vs. the spread and 1-2 at home.

Looking at their over/under performance through 10 games, Florida has an over/under record of 5-1-1, with their games averaging 159.9 points per game on average. When analyzing the Gators’ last five games, they have produced a combined average of 154 points per game and an over/under record of 2-3.

The Michigan Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win

After 11 games played, Michigan currently sits at 6-5. If they win their next game, their home record will improve to 3-3, bringing it to .500. Michigan enters their game against Florida with an ATS record of 4-4. In their last five games, the team has gone 1-4 vs. the spread.

Michigan’s games have, on average, featured 159.5 points per game leading to an over/under record of 6-2-0. Their average over/under line is currently 151.5 points so far. The Wolverines have seen their last five games conclude with a collective average of 153 points per game and an over/under record of 4-1.

Florida Offense Breakdown

Against Wake Forest, the Florida had a tough time putting up points compared to their season average of 82.3 points per game. They scored 71 points and posted a field goal percentage of 40% in the game. The team’s scoring leader is Walter Clayton Jr., who holds an average of 16.5 as they head into today’s matchup. Additionally, Tyrese Samuel is averaging 13.9 points per game this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 16.5 3.8 3.6
Tyrese Samuel (F) 13.9 8.2 1.7
Riley Kugel (G) 12.4 4.3 1.9

Michigan Offense Breakdown

Michigan’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Iowa, finishing the game with a total of 90 points. Their season average is now 82.2 points per game. The team’s top scorer is Dug McDaniel, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 17.9, while Olivier Nkamhoua also maintains a PPG average of 16.5 leading up to the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Dug McDaniel (G) 17.9 3.5 5.0
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 16.5 7.3 2.9
Terrance Williams II (F) 11.2 4.4 1.4

Florida Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Florida defense is giving up an average of 72.8 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Wake Forest, the Demon Deacons finished with a field goal percentage of 49% and a total of 82 points vs. Florida.

Michigan Team Defense

The Wolverines’ defense is presently ranked 215th nationally, allowing an average of 75.5 points per contest. Against Iowa in their most recent game, the Michigan defense gave up a total of 80 points while allowing Iowa to hit 43% of their shots.

Gators vs Wolverines Trends

  • Across the Gators last three road games, the team averaged 82 points per game while allowing 82. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 1-2, while going 1-2 straight-up.
  • Across the Wolverines last ten home games, the team averaged 73 points per game while allowing 71. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Michigan has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Gators have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 0-3 against the spread.

Gators vs Wolverines Prediction

The Wolverines come in as the underdog at +2, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 158.5 and our model has the Gators and Wolverines finishing with a combined 143 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.