The Florida Gators (20-3) travel to face off against the Mississippi State Bulldogs (17-6) on Tuesday, February 11th. This game will be played at Humphrey Coliseum in Starkville and televised on ESPN2. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.
Florida Gators vs Mississippi State Bulldogs
The Gators Are Coming Off A Win
Florida Gators Recent Game/Games
Florida improved to 20-3 on the season with a 90-81 road win over Auburn on Saturday. The Gators entered the game as +11 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they also covered the spread.
Florida led 48-38 at halftime and scored 42 points in the 2nd half, while allowing 43 points. The total points for the game reached 171, going over the pre-game line of 156.5.
The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win
Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games
Mississippi State improved to 17-6 on the season with a narrow 76-75 road win over Georgia on Saturday. The Bulldogs entered the game as +1.5 point underdogs and covered the spread with the victory.
Mississippi State led 40-32 at halftime but allowed 43 points in the second half while scoring 36. The game’s total points of 151 went over the pre-game line of 141.5.
Gators Offense Breakdown
In their last game, the Florida Gators put up 90 points, shooting 48.4% from the field and 39.4% from beyond the arc, connecting on 13 of 33 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was an impressive 59.4%, while they hit 58.1% of their two-point shots. At the free-throw line, they were 15 for 18, good for 83.3%.
Florida dished out 22 assists, with Walter Clayton Jr. contributing 9 assists and 19 points, hitting 4 of 8 from three-point range. Miles Kelly led the team with 22 points, and Johni Broome added 18 points and 11 rebounds. Alex Condon also had a strong performance, scoring 17 points on 7 of 10 shooting and grabbing 10 rebounds.
Bulldogs Offense Breakdown
Mississippi State put up 76 points in their last game, shooting 55.2% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 60.3%. Their two-point shooting was a standout, hitting 68.4% (26/38), though they struggled from beyond the arc, connecting on just 30% (6/20) of their three-point attempts. Free-throw shooting was also an issue, as they made only 6 of 18 attempts, a 33.3% rate.
Silas Demary Jr. led the way with 23 points and 7 assists, despite shooting 38.9% overall and 28.6% from three. Asa Newell and Josh Hubbard each added 16 points, with Newell hitting 3 of 4 threes and shooting 62.5% overall. Michael Nwoko was perfect from the field, going 5 for 5 in just 15 minutes of action.
Gators Team Defense
Florida’s defense gave up 81 points in their last game, with the opposing team shooting 42% from the field. They allowed 23 two-point baskets on 48 attempts, a 47% shooting rate.
From beyond the arc, the opponent hit 7 of 22 threes, shooting 31%. Florida also sent them to the line 23 times, where they made 14 free throws, shooting 60%. The Gators gave up 15 offensive rebounds.
Bulldogs Team Defense
Despite giving up 81 points, Florida’s defense held their opponent to 42% shooting from the field. They allowed 23 two-point baskets on 48 attempts, which translates to 47% shooting inside the arc.
From three-point range, the Gators’ defense conceded 7 made threes on 22 attempts, a 31% shooting performance. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 23 times, where they made 14, shooting 60%. Florida gave up 15 offensive rebounds in the game.
Gators vs Bulldogs Trends
- Across their ten previous road games, Florida has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 79 points per game.
- Although Mississippi State has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 67 points per game in these games.
- The last ten games that Mississippi State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 2-8 straight up.
- The Gators have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.
Gators vs Bulldogs Prediction
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +2.5, the Bulldogs is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 151.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:February 11, 2025 Florida Gators, Mississippi State Bulldogs