Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins NCAAB Betting Prediction

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Prediction 2/17/2024

The Illinois Fighting Illini (18-6) travel to face off against the Maryland Terrapins (14-11) on Saturday, February 17th. This game will be played at XFINITY Center in College Park and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 5:30 ET.

Illinois Fighting Illini vs Maryland Terrapins

The Illinois Fighting Illini Are Coming Off A Win

Illinois is 16-3 this season when favored, and the Fighting Illini have gone 9-4 in Big Ten play. They are coming off a 97-68 win over Michigan, and they are 18-6 overall.

On the road, Illinois is 4-4 this season, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games. They are averaging a +5.5 scoring margin on the road this season.

Against the spread, Illinois has gone 12-10-2 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-2-1. As the favorite, the Fighting Illini are 9-9-1 vs. the spread and their ATS record over their last 10 games as the favorite is 5-5.

Illinois’ over/under record for the season sits at 16-8 and the average scoring total in their games is 153.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (147.5). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 168 points and their OU record over their last 10 games is 8-2.

The Maryland Terrapins Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into today’s game, Maryland is 14-11 overall and 6-7 in Big Ten play. At home, the Terrapins have been very good, going 11-4 compared to 3-6 on the road. On the season, they have been the underdog nine times, going 3-6.

In their last game, Maryland beat Iowa 78-66 to improve their record to 7-3 in their last 10 games at home. For the year, they have been favored 15 times, going 11-4.

As the underdog this season, Maryland has gone 4-5 against the spread. At home, the Terps are 6-9 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Maryland has an ATS mark of 4-6. In their last 10 home games, the Terps are 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Maryland games is 6-18. So far, the average scoring total in their games is 132.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 138.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (136.6). In their last three games, the average scoring total is 135 points.

Illinois Offense Breakdown

Illinois’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 97 points against Michigan. They had an overall field goal percentage of 56.2% and made 13/15 free throws. Offensively, the Fighting Illini have a season long field goal percentage of 46%, which is 109th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 140th in percentage and 70th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) 21.1 4.2 2.4
Marcus Domask (F) 15.4 4.5 3.4
Coleman Hawkins (F) 12.3 6.1 2.9

Maryland Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Maryland offense ended with 78 points against Iowa. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 48.1% and made 4 threes. The top scorer for the Terrapins was Jahmir Young with 21 points, while Deshawn Harris-Smith also added 17 to the scoreboard.

Name PPG REB AST
Jahmir Young (G) 20.9 4.9 3.9
Julian Reese (F) 13.4 10.1 1.2
Donta Scott (F) 11.3 4.9 1.0

Illinois Team Defense

On defense, Illinois is currently around the NCAA average in points allowed, giving up an average of 70.3 points per game. Illinois’ defense is coming off a game in which they allowed the Michigan offense to knock down 56% of their shots on their way to putting up 68 points.

Maryland Team Defense

At this time, the Terrapins’ defense is positioned 15th in the country, permitting 63.8 points per game. Against Iowa in their most recent game, the Maryland defense gave up a total of 66 points while allowing Iowa to hit 48% of their shots.

Fighting Illini vs Terrapins Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Illinois has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 84 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Maryland has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 68 points per game.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, Maryland has an ATS mark of 3-2 while going 2-3 straight up.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Fighting Illini have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 5-5.

Fighting Illini vs Terrapins Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +2, we recommend going with the Terrapins on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 138.5, and our model predicts the Fighting Illini and Terrapins to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.