Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden NCAAB Betting Prediction

Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden Prediction 3/6/2024

The Indiana Hoosiers (16-13) travel to face off against the Minnesota Golden Gophers (18-11) on Wednesday, March 6th. This game will be played at Williams Arena in Minneapolis and televised on BTN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Minnesota Golden Gophers

The Indiana Hoosiers Are Coming Off A Win

Indiana comes into this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and the Hoosiers have gone 5-10 as an underdog this season. They are 16-13 overall and have won two in a row.

On the road, Indiana is just 4-7 this season, and their average scoring margin is -6.8. Over their last 10 road games, the Hoosiers are 4-6.

As the underdog this season, Indiana has an ATS record of 8-7 and an overall ATS record of 14-14-1. On the road, the Hoosiers are 5-5-1 vs. the spread and they have gone 1-2 in their last three road games ATS.

Indiana’s over/under record this season is 17-12 and the average scoring total in their games is 148.3 points. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (145.5). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 154 points.

The Minnesota Golden Gophers Are Coming Off A Win

Minnesota enters this game with an 18-11 record, including a 9-9 mark in Big Ten play. The Golden Gophers are 16-3 at home this season and have won five straight games at home. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +12.7 points per game.

Minnesota is favored by 5.5 points in this game. They have been favored in 14 games this season, going 13-1 in those games. Most recently, the Golden Gophers defeated Penn State by a score of 75-70.

As the favorite this season, Minnesota has gone 11-2-1 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Golden Gophers have an ATS mark of 8-2. At home, Minnesota’s ATS record is 15-3-1 this year.

This season, the over/under record for Minnesota games is 16-13 and the average scoring total in their games is 147.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 149.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (144.1). Over their last three games, their games have averaged 157 points compared to their season average of 147.6 points per game.

Indiana Offense Breakdown

Indiana’s offense is coming off a strong performance vs. Maryland, finishing the game with a total of 83 points. Their season average is now 73.2 points per game. Leading Indiana in scoring vs. Maryland was Mackenzie Mgbako with his 24 points. Malik Reneau also added 14 points for the Hoosiers.

Name PPG REB AST
Malik Reneau (F) 16.0 6.1 2.6
Kel’el Ware (C) 15.3 9.7 1.4
Mackenzie Mgbako (F) 12.0 4.0 1.3

Minnesota Offense Breakdown

The Minnesota offense is coming off a game where they scored 75 points against Penn State. They posted a field goal percentage of 46% and connected on 5 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Cam Christie with 19 points. Elijah Hawkins also added 18 points for the Golden Gophers.

Name PPG REB AST
Dawson Garcia (F) 17.4 6.3 1.8
Cam Christie (G) 11.9 3.6 2.2
Mike Mitchell Jr. (G) 10.6 2.7 2.7

Indiana Team Defense

Looking at the Indiana defense, they will be looking for a better performance considering they are currently conceding 75.1 points per game (251st). Indiana’s three-point defense is currently 236th in the country at 8.6 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 42.6% of their shots vs. Indiana.

Minnesota Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Minnesota defense is giving up an average of 71.0 points per contest. In today’s game vs. Indiana, the Minnesota defense will be looking to do a better job avoiding putting opponents on the line. In their last game, Minnesota made 24 free-throws vs. the Golden Gophers.

Hoosiers vs Golden Gophers Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Hoosiers have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 72 points per game in these contests.
  • Across the Golden Gophers last ten home games, the team averaged 72 points per game while allowing 80. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 7-3, while going 2-8 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Hoosiers have a straight up record of 4-6. But, their mark vs the spread was just 6-4.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Golden Gophers have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.

Hoosiers vs Golden Gophers Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Golden Gophers to secure the win, with an expected final score of 76-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -5.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 149.5, and our model predicts the Hoosiers and Golden Gophers to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.