Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers Prediction 2/10/2024

The Indiana Hoosiers (14-9) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (21-2) on Saturday, February 10th. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Indiana Hoosiers vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Indiana Hoosiers Are Coming Off A Win

Indiana enters this game as a 17.5-point underdog, and they have gone 3-8 this season as the underdog. The Hoosiers are 14-9 overall, and their record on the road is 3-5. They have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games.

Indiana is coming off of a 76-73 win over Ohio State, and their record in Big Ten games this season is 6-6. So far, they have gone 11-1 when they have been favored this season.

As the underdog, Indiana has been solid vs. the spread this season, going 6-5. Their overall ATS mark is 12-10-1. On the road, the Hoosiers have an ATS record of 4-3-1 and have covered in their last three games away from home. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Indiana is 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Indiana is 12-11, and the average scoring total in their games is 147.8. Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (145.8). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Wisconsin, Purdue improved their record to 21-2 on the season. The Boilermakers have been especially dominant at home, as they have yet to lose at Mackey Arena this year, going 14-0.

For the season, Purdue has been favored in 22 of their 23 games, and they have gone 20-2 in those contests. Their average scoring margin at home is +21.2, compared to +6.2 on the road.

At home, Purdue has an ATS record of 8-5-1 this season and an overall mark of 13-8-2. Over their last three home games, the Boilermakers are just 1-2 vs. the spread and they have gone 6-4 in their last 10 home games. As the favorite, Purdue has an ATS record of 5-5 over their last 10 games.

Today’s over/under line of 150.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this season (148.2). Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 157 points.

Indiana Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Hoosiers’ offense concluded with 76 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 73.6 points per contest. Currently leading the team in scoring is Malik Reneau who comes into today’s matchup averaging 16.4. Kel’el Ware also heads into the game with a PPG average of 14.8.

Malik Reneau (F) 16.4 6.2 2.7
Kel’el Ware (C) 14.8 9.1 1.6
Trey Galloway (G) 11.1 2.6 3.9

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 85.3 points per game, the Purdue had a below average performance. They scored 75 points against Wisconsin and had a field goal percentage of 47.4%. Zach Edey is leading the team in scoring at 23.1 points per contest. Lance Jones has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 13 going into the game.

Zach Edey (C) 23.1 11.7 1.7
Lance Jones (G) 13.0 2.9 2.5
Braden Smith (G) 12.4 5.4 7.3

Indiana Team Defense

The Hoosiers’ defense is presently ranked 225th nationally, allowing an average of 74.2 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Ohio State, the Buckeyes finished with a field goal percentage of 41% and a total of 73 points vs. Indiana.

Purdue Team Defense

The Boilermakers’ defense is presently ranked 122nd nationally, allowing an average of 70.0 points per contest. So far, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 8.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.3 times per game (513rd).

Hoosiers vs Boilermakers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 72 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 8-2 while going 5-4-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 75 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Indiana has an ATS mark of 3-0 while going 1-2 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Hoosiers vs Boilermakers Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers game, our recommendation is to take the Boilermakers at -17.5. Despite our model showing the Boilermakers winning 75-69, we like Hoosiers as our point-spread pick.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 150.5, and our model predicts the Hoosiers and Boilermakers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.