The Iowa State Cyclones (13-4) travel to face off against the TCU Horned Frogs (13-4) on Saturday, January 20th. This game will be played at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena in Fort Worth and televised on ESPNU. TCU is coming off a win in their previous game, while Iowa State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the BYU. Tip-off is set for 2:00 ET.
Iowa State Cyclones vs TCU Horned Frogs
The Iowa State Cyclones Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
After falling to BYU 87-72, Iowa State is 13-4 this season, including a 2-2 mark in Big 12 action. On the road, the Cyclones are 2-3, compared to 11-1 at home.
As the underdog, Iowa State is 1-2 this year, and they have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games away from home. They are 2-3 on the road this season, and they are looking to avoid a third straight loss on the road.
As the underdog, Iowa State has gone 1-2 against the spread in their last three games and 4-5-1 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Cyclones have a 1-4 ATS mark this season and are just 3-7 in their last 10 road games vs. the spread.
This season, the over/under record for Iowa State games is 10-7, and the average over/under line in their games is 137.6. So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 145. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 125 points.
The TCU Horned Frogs Are Coming Off A Win
TCU comes into this game as a 4.5-point favorite, and they have been the favorite in 14 of their 17 games this season. Their record as the favorite is 12-2, and they have gone 9-2 at home this season.
After their 68-67 win over Houston, the Horned Frogs have won two straight games. They have gone 8-2 at home over their last 10 games, and their average scoring margin at home this season is +18.4 points per game.
When looking at TCU’s ATS record this season, they are currently 10-6. At home, their ATS record is 6-5 and their last 3 home ATS mark is 3-0. As the favorite, the Horned Frogs have gone 8-6 vs. the spread this year and are 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite.
TCU has an over/under record of 8-8 this season and today’s line of 145 is similar to the average over/under line in their games (150.1). This year, eight of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 148 points.
Iowa State Offense Breakdown
The Iowa State offense is coming off a game where they scored 72 points against BYU. They posted a field goal percentage of 44.1% and connected on 4 threes. Leading Iowa State in scoring vs. BYU was Keshon Gilbert with his 16 points. Milan Momcilovic also added 11 points for the Cyclones.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tamin Lipsey (G) | 14.5 | 5.5 | 5.6 |
| Keshon Gilbert (G) | 13.1 | 4.1 | 4.5 |
| Milan Momcilovic (F) | 13.1 | 3.5 | 1.1 |
TCU Offense Breakdown
The TCU offense is coming off a game in which they scored 68 points vs. Houston. Overall their field goal percentage was 43.1% while connecting on 8 threes. Offensively, the Horned Frogs have a season long field goal percentage of 48%, which is 57th in the nation. In terms of three-pointers, they are 159th in percentage and 285th in three-pointers made.
| Name | PPG | REB | AST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Miller (F) | 16.6 | 5.8 | 2.9 |
| Jameer Nelson Jr. (G) | 11.2 | 2.9 | 3.4 |
| Micah Peavy (G) | 10.6 | 4.8 | 3.0 |
Iowa State Team Defense
At this time, the Cyclones’ defense is positioned 6th in the country, permitting 60.1 points per game. So far, the Iowa State defense is giving up an average of 7.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 10.6 times per game (450th).
TCU Team Defense
Currently, the Horned Frogs’ defense holds the 94th rank in the nation, allowing 68.6 points per game. So far, the TCU defense is giving up an average of 8.2 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.2 times per game (588th).
Cyclones vs Horned Frogs Trends
- Although Iowa State has a straight up record of 2-3 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 72 points per game in these games.
- In their last three home games, TCU has averaged 74 points per game while allowing 71. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Iowa State has an ATS mark of 4-5-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
- The Horned Frogs have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 3-0 against the spread.
Cyclones vs Horned Frogs Prediction
We’re putting our money on the Horned Frogs to win, and have the projected score sitting at 76-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Horned Frogs at -4.5.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145, and our model predicts the Cyclones and Horned Frogs to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:January 20, 2024 Iowa State Cyclones, TCU Horned Frogs, Uncategorized