Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears NCAAB Betting Prediction

Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears Prediction 3/2/2024

The Kansas Jayhawks (21-7) travel to face off against the Baylor Bears (20-8) on Saturday, March 2nd. This game will be played at Foster Pavilion in Waco and televised on ABC. Baylor is coming off a win in their previous game, while Kansas is looking to get back on track from a loss to the BYU. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Kansas Jayhawks vs Baylor Bears

The Kansas Jayhawks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After losing to BYU by a score of 76-68, Kansas is now 21-7 on the season and 9-6 in Big 12 play. The Jayhawks have gone 12-1 in non-conference games, and they are 6-6 on the road compared to 15-1 at home.

So far this year, Kansas has been the underdog in just two games, and they are 0-2 in those contests. On the road, the Jayhawks have gone 4-6 in their last 10 games, and they are 1-4 in their previous five away from home.

As the underdog, Kansas has gone 1-1 vs. the spread this season and is 3-2 in their last five games as the underdog. On the road, the Jayhawks are 4-8 vs. the spread this year and have gone 4-6 in their last 10 road games ATS.

This season, the over/under record for Kansas games is 12-16. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is close to the average over/under line in their games this year (145.4). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. In their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.

The Baylor Bears Are Coming Off A Win

Through 28 games, Baylor has been dominant at home, going 14-1 with an average scoring margin of +18.8 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Bears are 8-2.

For the season, Baylor has been favored in 19 of their 28 games, going 17-2 in those contests. Their overall record is 20-8, including a 9-5 mark in Big 12 action.

At home this season, Baylor has gone 10-4-1 vs. the spread, and they are 16-9-1 ATS overall. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Bears have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread, and they are 3-1-1 ATS in their last 5 games as the favorite. In their last 3 home games, Baylor is 1-1-1 ATS.

So far this season, the over/under record for Baylor games is 13-13. The average scoring total in their games is 151.6 points, which is 3.5 points higher than the average over/under line of 148.1. Today’s over/under line is 145.5. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 140 points and their OU record during this stretch is 1-2. On the year, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line.

Kansas Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 76.6 points per game, the Kansas had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against BYU and had a field goal percentage of 39%. In terms of offense, the Jayhawks have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, putting them 18th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 202nd in percentage and 323rd in three-pointers made.

Hunter Dickinson (C) 18.2 10.9 2.2
Kevin McCullar Jr. (G) 19.0 6.4 4.4
KJ Adams Jr. (F) 12.3 4.6 3.2

Baylor Offense Breakdown

In their most recent game, the Baylor offense concluded with only 62 points against TCU. Throughout the game, they made 9/22 three-point attempts and had a field goal percentage of 37.7%. Ja’Kobe Walter is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 14.8 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, RayJ Dennis brings a PPG average of 13.2 into the game.

Ja’Kobe Walter (G) 14.8 4.5 1.5
RayJ Dennis (G) 13.2 3.9 6.6
Jalen Bridges (F) 11.2 5.2 1.5

Kansas Team Defense

At present, the Jayhawks’ defense is nationally ranked 70th, allowing 67.9 points per game. So far, the Kansas defense is giving up an average of 8.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.4 times per game (554th).

Baylor Team Defense

Currently, the Bears’ defense holds the 134th rank in the nation, allowing 70.8 points per game. In their previous game vs. TCU, the Horned Frogs finished with a field goal percentage of 33% and a total of 54 points vs. Baylor.

Jayhawks vs Bears Trends

  • Through their last three road games, Kansas has an ATS record of just 1-2. However, their overall record was 1-2 while averaging 62 points per game.
  • Baylor has played well in their previous three home games, going 2-1 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 75 points per game while allowing 71. The team also performed well vs the spread at 2-1.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Kansas has an ATS mark of 4-6 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Through their last three games as the favorite, the Bears have an ATS record of 2-0-1 and a straight up mark of 3-0.

Jayhawks vs Bears Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Bears, with a final score of 76-68, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Bears at -4.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145.5, and our model predicts the Jayhawks and Bears to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.