Kentucky Wildcats vs Arkansas Razorbacks NCAAB Betting Prediction

Kentucky vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction 1/27/2024

The Kentucky Wildcats (14-4) travel to face off against the Arkansas Razorbacks (10-9) on Saturday, January 27th. This game will be played at Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville and televised on ESPN. Both Kentucky and Arkansas will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:00 ET.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Arkansas Razorbacks

The Kentucky Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

After a recent loss to South Carolina, Kentucky’s record now stands at 14-4, including a 4-2 mark in Southeastern Conference play. On the road, the Wildcats have gone 3-2 this season, and their average scoring margin is +2.8 points per game.

So far, Kentucky has been favored in 14 of their 18 games, going 12-2 when favored. Their average scoring margin at home is +16.4 points per game, and they have won their last five games at home.

On the season, Kentucky has gone 11-7 against the spread, including an 8-6 mark when favored. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Wildcats are 7-3 vs. the spread. On the road, Kentucky is 3-2 vs. the spread this year and 6-4 over their last 10 road games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Kentucky games is 14-4. On average, their games have finished with 12.4 more points than the over/under line of 154.9. Currently, their over/under line for today’s game against Arkansas is 166.5. This year, 17 of their games have had a lower over/under line than today’s line of 166.5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 169 points.

The Arkansas Razorbacks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Arkansas enters this game as a 6.5-point underdog, and they have gone 2-7 as the underdog this season. At home, they have gone 10-3 compared to 0-6 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +4.8.

Over their last three games at home, Arkansas is 1-2, and they are coming off a 77-51 loss to Ole Miss.

As the underdog this season, Arkansas has an ATS record of just 2-7, and they are 5-14 overall vs. the spread. At home, the Razorbacks are 5-8 ATS this year and just 4-6 over their last 10 games as the host. As the underdog, Arkansas has gone 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Arkansas games is 13-6. Today’s over/under line of 166.5 is higher than the average scoring total in their games this year (153.7). Over their last three games, the OU record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 141 points.

Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Kentucky offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 62 points against South Carolina. In that game, they made 4/13 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 40.3%. The team’s top scorer is Antonio Reeves, who comes into today’s matchup with an average of 19.2, while Rob Dillingham also maintains a PPG average of 13.9 leading up to the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Antonio Reeves (G) 19.2 4.4 1.6
Rob Dillingham (G) 13.9 3.1 3.8
Tre Mitchell (F) 13.6 7.5 3.3

Arkansas Offense Breakdown

Most recently, the Arkansas offense finished with just 51 points vs. Ole Miss. For the game, they hit 5/22 three-point attempts and a field goal percentage of 33.3%. Tramon Mark is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 17.9. Meanwhile, Khalif Battle also brings a PPG average of 11.5 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Tramon Mark (G) 17.9 3.7 1.5
Khalif Battle (G) 11.5 2.5 1.1
Trevon Brazile (F) 8.9 6.5 0.5

Kentucky Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Kentucky is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 77.3 points per game (265th). On average, opposing teams are hitting 8.7 threes per game vs. Arkansas. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 31.8%.

Arkansas Team Defense

At this time, the Razorbacks’ defense is positioned 271st in the country, permitting 77.5 points per game. The Arkansas defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 77 points and allowed Ole Miss to connect on 7 threes.

Wildcats vs Razorbacks Trends

  • Although Kentucky has a straight up record of 6-4 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 6-4. The team averaged 79 points per game in these games.
  • Through their last ten home games, Arkansas has an ATS record of just 2-8. However, their overall record was 2-8 while averaging 68 points per game.
  • Spanning across their last three games as the betting underdog, the Razorbacks have gone 1-2 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-2.
  • Although the Wildcats have a strong straight up record in their last three games as the betting favorite, they have not done as well vs the spread going 1-2.

Wildcats vs Razorbacks Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +6.5, we have the Razorbacks as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 166.5, and our model predicts the Wildcats and Razorbacks to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.