Kentucky Wildcats vs LSU Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Kentucky Wildcats vs LSU Tigers Prediction 2/21/2024

The Kentucky Wildcats (18-7) travel to face off against the LSU Tigers (13-12) on Wednesday, February 21st. This game will be played at Pete Maravich Assembly Center in Baton Rouge and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Kentucky Wildcats vs LSU Tigers

The Kentucky Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

After winning their last game against Auburn by a score of 70-59, Kentucky comes into this game with an 18-7 record, including a 8-4 record in Southeastern Conference play. On the road this season, the Wildcats have gone 6-3, and over their last 10 road games, they have gone 6-4.

So far this season, Kentucky has been favored in 20 of their 25 games, going 15-5 in those games. On average, the Wildcats have outscored their opponents by 6.6 points per game on the road, and they are currently on a two-game win streak.

As the favorite this season, Kentucky has gone just 10-10 vs. the spread. On the road, their ATS mark is 5-4 and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they are just 4-6.

Today’s over/under line of 164.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Kentucky’s games this season (157.2). So far, the over/under record in their games is 18-7. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points.

The LSU Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

LSU has been a much better team at home this season, going 10-5 compared to 3-7 on the road. Their average scoring margin at home is +9.7, compared to -7.2 on the road.

As the underdog, LSU has gone just 3-10 this season. They are currently 13-12 overall and 5-7 in the Southeastern Conference. In their last game, the Tigers defeated South Carolina 64-63.

As the underdog, LSU has an ATS record of just 5-8 this season. However, their ATS mark as the underdog over their last 10 games is 4-6. At home, the Tigers are just 6-9 vs. the spread this year and 4-6 over their last 10 home games.

LSU’s over/under record for the season is 13-12, and today’s line of 164.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (148.4). So far, 17 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 162 points.

Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Kentucky offense tallied 70 points in a matchup against Auburn. Their field goal percentage for the game was 44.4%, and they made 4 threes. The Kentucky offense has been looking to get up shots from outside so far this season, averaging 23.8 three-point attempts per contest. Overall, they have connected on 40% of their looks from outside this season.

Name PPG REB AST
Antonio Reeves (G) 19.5 4.3 1.6
Rob Dillingham (G) 14.7 3.0 4.0
Reed Sheppard (G) 12.1 4.4 4.1

LSU Offense Breakdown

LSU offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 64 points against South Carolina. In that game, they made 5/13 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 43.1%. Jordan Wright is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15. Meanwhile, Will Baker also brings a PPG average of 12.2 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Jordan Wright (G) 15.0 5.1 2.6
Will Baker (F) 12.2 5.0 0.9
Jalen Cook (G) 15.6 3.8 2.8

Kentucky Team Defense

So far, the Wildcats’ defense is ranked 290th in the country at 77.4 points per contest. In their previous game vs. Auburn, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 30% and a total of 59 points vs. Kentucky.

LSU Team Defense

At present, the Tigers’ defense is nationally ranked 233rd, allowing 74.3 points per game. Against South Carolina, the Tigers’ defense gave up 63 points and did a good job not fouling. For the game, South Carolina only made 5 free-throws.

Wildcats vs Tigers Trends

  • Across the Wildcats last five road games, the team averaged 77 points per game while allowing 72. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 3-2 straight-up.
  • Across the Tigers last ten home games, the team averaged 74 points per game while allowing 81. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 3-7 straight-up.
  • The last five games that LSU was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting favorite, the Wildcats have gone 2-3 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.

Wildcats vs Tigers Prediction

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Tigers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 164.5 and our model has the Wildcats and Tigers finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.