Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers Prediction 3/8/2025

The Kentucky Wildcats (20-10) travel to face off against the Missouri Tigers (21-9) on Saturday, March 8th. This game will be played at Mizzou Arena in Columbia and televised on ESPN. Kentucky is coming off a win in their previous game, while Missouri is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Oklahoma. Tip-off is set for 12:00 ET.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Missouri Tigers

The Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

Kentucky Wildcats Recent Game/Games

Kentucky improved to 20-10 on the season with a dominant 95-64 win over LSU on Tuesday. Playing at home, the Wildcats entered the game as 13-point favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game hit 159, surpassing the over/under line of 155.5.

Kentucky took control early, leading 50-23 at halftime. While they allowed 41 points in the second half, they added 45 points of their own to secure the win.

The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

Missouri Tigers Recent Game/Games

Missouri’s season record dropped to 21-9 after a 96-84 road loss to Oklahoma on Wednesday. The Tigers entered the game as -4.5 favorites but failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 180, surpassing the O/U line of 161.5.

Missouri trailed 50-37 at halftime but put up a fight in the second half, scoring 47 points while allowing 46. Despite the strong offensive effort after the break, the Tigers couldn’t close the gap.

Wildcats Offense Breakdown

Kentucky’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, putting up 95 points on 50.7% shooting from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 59.2%, thanks in part to their 61.5% shooting on two-point attempts. From beyond the arc, they hit 12 of 32 threes, shooting 37.5%, and they were perfect from the free-throw line, going 11 for 11.

Otega Oweh led the way with 24 points, shooting 9 of 11 from the field, while also grabbing 8 rebounds and dishing out 3 assists. Kentucky’s ball movement was on point, as they recorded 22 assists, with Brandon Garrison and Collin Chandler each contributing 4. Cam Carter knocked down 4 threes, shooting 66.7% from deep, and Ansley Almonor was 3 of 4 from beyond the arc, finishing with 15 points.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

Missouri’s offense put up 84 points in their last game, shooting 46.7% from the field. They connected on 65.5% of their two-point attempts, but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 29% of their threes (9/31). At the free-throw line, they shot 79.2%, making 19 of 24 attempts.

Jeremiah Fears led the way with 31 points, shooting 9/13 from the field and adding 5 assists. Mark Mitchell contributed 18 points, hitting 7 of 8 shots, while Caleb Grill knocked down 4 threes, finishing with 16 points and 8 rebounds.

Wildcats Team Defense

Despite Kentucky’s defensive struggles, allowing 64 points on 50% shooting, they still managed to hold their opponent to just 64 points. The Wildcats gave up 61% shooting on two-point attempts, with their opponent hitting 24 of 39 shots inside the arc.

From beyond the three-point line, Kentucky’s defense allowed 12 threes on 32 attempts, a 37% success rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 11 times, where they converted all their attempts. Kentucky limited their opponent to 7 offensive rebounds.

Tigers Team Defense

Despite giving up 64 points, the Kentucky Wildcats allowed their opponent to shoot 50% from the field, including 61% on two-point attempts. They also gave up 12 threes on 32 attempts, a 37% shooting rate from beyond the arc.

From the free-throw line, Kentucky’s opponent was perfect, hitting all 11 of their attempts. The Wildcats limited second-chance opportunities, allowing just 7 offensive rebounds.

Wildcats vs Tigers Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Wildcats offense has averaged 78 points per game while allowing an average of 81. Kentucky posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 4-6 ATS.
  • Through their last ten home games, Missouri has an ATS record of just 5-5. However, their overall record was 3-7 while averaging 79 points per game.
  • Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 0-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Tigers have a straight up record of 7-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.

Wildcats vs Tigers Prediction

The Tigers is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 77-70. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Tigers at -4.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 169.5 and given that our model is projecting 147 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.