Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores NCAAB Betting Prediction

Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Prediction 2/6/2024

The Kentucky Wildcats (15-6) travel to face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (6-15) on Tuesday, February 6th. This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville and televised on SECN. Vanderbilt is coming off a win in their previous game, while Kentucky is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Tennessee. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Kentucky Wildcats vs Vanderbilt Commodores

The Kentucky Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Heading into tonight’s game, Kentucky is 15-6 overall and 5-3 in Southeastern Conference play. The Wildcats have gone 10-3 in non-conference games, and they are 4-2 on the road this season.

So far, Kentucky has been favored in 16 of their 21 games, going 13-3 in those contests. Their average scoring margin on the road is +3.3 points per game, and they have gone 7-3 in their last 10 road games.

When looking at Kentucky’s ATS record this season, they are currently sitting at 11-9. As the favorite, they have gone 8-8 vs. the spread. On the road, the Wildcats have an ATS mark of 3-3. Over their last three road games, Kentucky is 0-3 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Kentucky’s games this season (155.5). The over/under record in their games this season is 15-5. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.

The Vanderbilt Commodores Are Coming Off A Win

With a record of 6-15, Vanderbilt is 1-7 in the Southeastern Conference, and the Commodores have lost six straight games on the road. At home, they are 6-9 this season, and their average scoring margin is -2.7 points per game.

Vanderbilt’s record as an underdog is 1-12 this season, and they are getting 9.5 points in this game. In their last outing, the Commodores defeated Missouri by a score of 68-61.

As the underdog, Vanderbilt has gone 6-6-1 against the spread this season, including a 2-1 mark in their last 3 games. At home, the Commodores have an ATS record of 7-8 this year and are 4-1 in their last 5 home games vs. the spread. Overall, Vanderbilt is 9-11-1 ATS this season.

Today’s over/under line of 151.5 points is significantly higher than the average over/under line in Vanderbilt’s games this season (142.3). So far, 18 of their games have finished with fewer points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is just 133 points.

Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Kentucky’s offense had a good outing, putting up 92 points against Tennessee. They achieved a 49.3% field goal percentage and went 12/19 from the free-throw line. The top scorer for the Wildcats was Rob Dillingham with 35 points, while Antonio Reeves also chipped in with 21 points.

Antonio Reeves (G) 19.5 4.2 1.7
Rob Dillingham (G) 15.2 3.0 3.9
Tre Mitchell (F) 12.3 7.6 3.1

Vanderbilt Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Vanderbilt offense put up 68 points against Missouri. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 40% and made 5 threes. Leading Vanderbilt in scoring vs. Missouri was Ezra Manjon with his 17 points. Tyrin Lawrence also added 14 points for the Commodores.

Ezra Manjon (G) 14.7 3.1 3.4
Tyrin Lawrence (G) 14.2 5.4 1.8
Evan Taylor (G) 8.2 4.0 0.3

Kentucky Team Defense

Currently, the Wildcats’ defense holds the 293rd rank in the nation, allowing 78.4 points per game. Against Tennessee in their most recent game, the Kentucky defense gave up a total of 103 points while allowing Tennessee to hit 49% of their shots.

Vanderbilt Team Defense

Vanderbilt’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.0 points per game. In their previous game vs. Missouri, the Tigers finished with a field goal percentage of 40% and a total of 61 points vs. Vanderbilt.

Wildcats vs Commodores Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 6-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 79 points per game in these contests.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Commodores offense has averaged 55 points per game while allowing an average of 72. Vanderbilt posted an overall record of 0-3 while going 0-2-1 ATS.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Commodores have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-2-1.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Wildcats have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 0-3.

Wildcats vs Commodores Prediction

The Commodores come in as the underdog at +9.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 151.5, and our model predicts the Wildcats and Commodores to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.