The Liberty Flames (13-0) face off against the Oregon Ducks (11-2) on Monday, January 1st. This game will be played at State Farm Stadium in Glendale and televised on ESPN. Liberty is coming off a win in their previous game, while Oregon is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Washington. Kickoff is set for 1:00 ET.
Liberty Flames vs Oregon Ducks
The Liberty Flames Are Coming Off A Win
Liberty most recently played against New Mexico State and won by a score of 49-35. In Liberty’s win over New Mexico State, quarterback Kaidon Salter had two touchdowns through the air and added one touchdown on the ground. Throughout the game, he threw for a total of 319 yards while achieving a completion rate of 80.0%.
Heading into the game Liberty was the betting favorite at 10.5 and picked up an ATS win. Together, the teams scored 84 points, resulting in a hit for the over.
As they enter this week’s game, Liberty holds a record of 13-0. In this season, they’ve played four road games and seven home games.
Having been favored in all of their games so far, the Flames have a 8-3 vs. the spread. Liberty’s average scoring margin for the season is +18.1 points per game. After 13 games, the average over/under line in Liberty’s matches stands at 57 points. The collective score in their games has averaged 63.5 points, resulting in an OU record of 8-3.
The Oregon Ducks Look To Bounce Back From A Loss
Coming off a tight 34-31 loss to Washington, the Ducks hope to rebound in this week’s matchup vs. Liberty. In the loss against Washington, quarterback Bo Nix achieved a QB rating of 100.0, completing 21 of 34 passes for 239 yards. Additionally, he contributed three touchdowns to the game.
Leading up to the game, Oregon was favored to win by 10, handing them an ATS and straight-up defeat. The under ended up hitting as the line going into the game was 65.5.
With a 11-2 record, the Oregon Ducks take on Liberty. Their road record so far is (4-2) and at home (6-0).
Oregon’s average scoring differential for the season is +26.8 leading to an ATS mark of 8-3-1. The Ducks have been favored 11 times and the underdog in one games The average point total in Oregon’s 13 games is currently 61.5 points per game. This has led to an over/under record of 4-8 for the Ducks.
Liberty Offense Breakdown
As they prepare to face the Oregon, the Flames’ offense is averaging 304.2 rushing yards per game and 6 yards per attempt. Nationally, they are 1st in rushing yards and 64th in passing yards, on an average of 212 yards per matchup. Liberty has averaged 40.8 points per game so far. This figure places them 3rd in the nation.
Kaidon Salter has accumulated 2750 passing yards this season, with an average of 17 per completion. His completion rate for the year stands at 60.9%, and he’s tossed 31 touchdowns.
Oregon Offense Breakdown
The Ducks’ offense is set to face Liberty while averaging 186.1 rushing yards per game and 6 yards per attempt. In the national rankings, they currently stand at 15th for rushing yards and 2nd for passing yards, with an average of 342.8 yards per matchup. Overall, Oregon is putting up 44.2 points per game, which is 1st nationally.
Bo Nix is the team’s passing leader, having thrown for 4145 yards. He has also added some production in the running game, ranking 3rd on the team in rushing yards. This season, he’s carried the ball 53 times for 228 yards, while maintaining a completion rate of 77.2%.
Liberty Team Defense
Liberty’s defense enters the game ranked 77th in passing yards allowed per game. Opponents throw the ball an average of 35.7 times against the Flames. They have given up 22.7 PPG, which ranks 91st in college football. In terms of rushing yards allowed, they stand at 33rd in the NCAA.
Oregon Team Defense
The Ducks’ defense has given up 97.8 rushing yards per game this season, which is 200th. Opponents are recording an average of 222.8 passing yards, and opposing quarterbacks come in with a passer rating of 77.4 when playing against Oregon. In terms of points allowed, they currently sit 92nd in NCAA rankings.
Liberty vs Oregon Trends
- Liberty is 7-3 in their last ten games road games.
- Oregon is 2-1 ATS in their last home games.
- Ducks is 1-3-1 in their last five games as underdogs.
- Liberty’s record vs. the spread in their five most recent games as the favorite is 3-2.
Liberty vs Oregon Prediction
Oregon has had some turnover problems in their passing game this year. I’m going with Liberty as the away underdogs to cover the spread at +16.
Our model sees the over/under line for this matchup being to low and like the outlook of this game surpassing 65 points. The betting model spit out this game finishing with a combined 67 points.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.