Louisville Cardinals vs Duke Blue NCAAB Betting Prediction

Louisville Cardinals vs Duke Blue Prediction 2/28/2024

The Louisville Cardinals (8-19) travel to face off against the Duke Blue Devils (21-6) on Wednesday, February 28th. This game will be played at Cameron Indoor Stadium in Durham and televised on ACCN. Both Louisville and Duke will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Louisville Cardinals vs Duke Blue Devils

The Louisville Cardinals Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Coming into this game, Louisville is 8-19 overall and 3-13 in Atlantic Coast Conference play. The Cardinals have lost three straight games and are 1-9 on the road this season. Over their last 10 games on the road, they are just 1-9.

For the season, Louisville has been an underdog in 18 of their 27 games, going just 2-16 in those matchups. They are 6-3 when favored.

Against the spread, Louisville has a 12-13-2 record this season. On the road, the Cardinals are 5-5 vs. the spread. As the underdog, Louisville is 9-8-1 vs. the spread this year. In their last 10 games as the underdog, the Cardinals have gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record in Louisville games is 15-12 and today’s line of 151.5 is higher than the average over/under line of 147. Over their last three games, the scoring average is 144 points and in their last five games, it is 152 points. For the season, the average scoring total in their games is 151.2 points.

The Duke Blue Devils Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Through 27 games, Duke has been favored in 24 of them, and they have gone 20-4 in those games. At home, they have been even better, going 14-2, and they have won their last four games at home. On the year, they have averaged a scoring margin of +16.4 at home.

Coming off an 83-79 loss to Wake Forest, Duke is 21-6 overall, and their record in the ACC is 11-4. Over their last ten games at home, they have gone 9-1, and they are 4-1 in their last five.

As the favorite this season, Duke has gone 14-10 vs. the spread. In their last 10 games as the favorite, the Blue Devils are 6-4 ATS. At home, Duke has a mark of 10-6 vs. the spread this year.

This season, the over/under record for Duke games is 12-13-1, and the average scoring total in their games is 148.9 points. Today’s over/under line of 151.5 is higher than the average OU line in their games (147.1). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2, and the average scoring total in those games is 147 points.

Louisville Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Louisville offense put up 50 points against Notre Dame. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 33.9% and made 4 threes. Mike James is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 13. Meanwhile, Brandon Huntley-Hatfield also brings a PPG average of 12.4 into the game.

Mike James (G) 13.0 5.0 1.5
Brandon Huntley-Hatfield (F) 12.4 8.4 1.0
Skyy Clark (G) 13.3 3.3 2.9

Duke Offense Breakdown

Duke’s offense is coming off a good game, putting up 79 points vs. Wake Forest. Overall, they hit 53.1% of their shots from the field and went 16/20 from the free-throw line. Kyle Filipowski is leading the team in scoring at 16.9 points per contest. Jeremy Roach has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.2 going into the game.

Kyle Filipowski (C) 16.9 8.3 2.8
Jeremy Roach (G) 14.2 2.4 3.0
Jared McCain (G) 13.6 4.9 1.7

Louisville Team Defense

As they prepare for the upcoming game, Louisville is focused on shoring up their defense, as they are currently allowing an average of 78.6 points per game (304th). In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Louisville’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.7% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 34.8% this season.

Duke Team Defense

Currently, the Blue Devils’ defense holds the 74th rank in the nation, allowing 67.7 points per game. Against Wake Forest in their most recent game, the Duke defense gave up a total of 83 points while allowing Wake Forest to hit 60% of their shots.

Cardinals vs Blue Devils Trends

  • Across the Cardinals last five road games, the team averaged 71 points per game while allowing 85. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 0-5 straight-up.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Blue Devils have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 3-6 vs. the spread. The team averaged 76 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their previous three games as the underdog, Louisville has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
  • Duke has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 5-0 SU and 5-0 ATS in their last five games.

Cardinals vs Blue Devils Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Blue Devils vs. Cardinals matchup, our bet is to grab the Cardinals at +19.5. Even though our projections have the Blue Devils winning 74-69, we see the Cardinals as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 151.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.