LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats NCAAB Betting Prediction

LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats Prediction 3/4/2025

The LSU Tigers (14-15) travel to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (19-10) on Tuesday, March 4th. This game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington and televised on ESPN2. Both LSU and Kentucky will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

LSU Tigers vs Kentucky Wildcats

The Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

LSU Tigers Recent Game/Games

LSU fell to 14-15 on the season after an 81-69 loss to Mississippi State on Saturday. The Tigers, who were +11.5 point underdogs on the road, didn’t cover the spread. The game’s total points of 150 narrowly exceeded the O/U line of 149.5.

LSU led 37-35 at halftime but struggled in the 2nd half, scoring just 32 points while allowing 46.

The Wildcats Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Kentucky Wildcats Recent Game/Games

Kentucky’s season record dropped to 19-10 after a 94-78 home loss to Auburn on Saturday. The Wildcats entered the game as +4.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game reached 172, surpassing the over/under line of 166.5.

Kentucky fell behind early, trailing 49-34 at halftime. While they scored 44 points in the second half, they couldn’t slow down Auburn, who put up 45 points after the break.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense struggled from deep in their last game, hitting just 25% of their threes (9/36), contributing to an overall field goal percentage of 39.1% and an effective field goal percentage of 46.9%. They were more efficient inside, connecting on 57.1% of their two-point attempts (16/28) and added 13 offensive rebounds.

Josh Hubbard led the way with 30 points, shooting 50% from the field despite going 2/9 from three. Cam Carter contributed 23 points, hitting 5 of 10 from beyond the arc, while Riley Kugel added 12 points, making 2 of 3 threes and shooting 83.3% overall.

Wildcats Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Kentucky put up 78 points, shooting 46% from the field. They connected on 57.6% of their two-point attempts but struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 23.5% (4/17) of their threes. Their effective field goal percentage was 50%.

The Wildcats made 28 of 38 free throws, shooting 73.7% from the line, and grabbed 12 offensive rebounds. They recorded 12 assists, with Amari Williams contributing 7 assists and 14 rebounds. Williams also shot 60% from the field.

Tigers Team Defense

LSU struggled defensively, giving up 81 points on 56% shooting from the field. The Tigers allowed 29 made baskets on 51 attempts.

Inside the arc, LSU’s defense was particularly vulnerable, as they allowed 22 two-point baskets on 30 attempts, a 73% conversion rate.

Wildcats Team Defense

LSU struggled defensively, giving up 81 points while allowing their opponent to shoot 56% from the field. They were particularly vulnerable inside, where they allowed 73% shooting on two-point attempts.

From beyond the arc, LSU’s defense gave up 7 threes on 21 attempts, a 33% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 22 times, where they converted 16 free throws.

Tigers vs Wildcats Trends

  • Although LSU has a straight up record of 2-8 in their last ten road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 4-6. The team averaged 67 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Kentucky has an ATS record of 1-2 while averaging 81 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 2-3.
  • The last ten games that Kentucky was favored, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 6-4 straight up.

Tigers vs Wildcats Prediction

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Wildcats vs. Wildcats game, our recommendation is to take the Wildcats at -12.5. Despite our model showing the Wildcats winning 76-71, we like Tigers as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 157.5 and our model has the Tigers and Wildcats finishing with a combined 147 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.