LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels NCAAB Betting Prediction
PublishedJanuary 11, 2025,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:January 11, 2025 ,

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels Prediction 1/11/2025

The LSU Tigers (11-4) travel to face off against the Ole Miss Rebels (13-2) on Saturday, January 11th. This game will be played at The Sandy and John Black Pavilion at Ole Miss in Oxford and televised on SECN. Ole Miss is coming off a win in their previous game, while LSU is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Missouri. Tip-off is set for 6:00 ET.

LSU Tigers vs Ole Miss Rebels

The Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

LSU dropped to 11-4 on the season after an 83-67 road loss to Missouri on Tuesday. Entering the game as +7.5 point underdogs, the Tigers not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 150 fell short of the 153.5 O/U line.

LSU found themselves in a deep hole early, trailing 42-27 at halftime. Although they scored 40 points in the second half, they allowed 41, preventing any chance of a comeback.

The Rebels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Ole Miss improved to 13-2 on the season with a 73-66 road win over Arkansas on Wednesday. The Rebels entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs but not only pulled off the upset, they also covered the spread.

After a 33-33 tie at halftime, Ole Miss outscored Arkansas 40-33 in the second half. The game’s total points of 139 fell short of the O/U line of 148.5.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU put up 67 points in their last game, shooting 41.8% from the field and 40% from beyond the arc, connecting on 8 of 20 three-point attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 49.1%, and they hit 68.4% of their free throws, going 13 for 19 from the line.

Tamar Bates led the way with 20 points and 8 rebounds, shooting 66.7% overall and from three-point range. Cam Carter and Anthony Robinson II each contributed 16 points, with Carter struggling from deep, hitting just 1 of 5 attempts.

Rebels Offense Breakdown

Ole Miss put up 73 points in their latest game, shooting 46% from the field and 39.1% from beyond the arc, hitting 9 of 23 attempts. Their effective field goal percentage was 56%, and they connected on 18 of 28 free throws, shooting 64.3% from the line.

Malik Dia and Adou Thiero both shot 58.3%, with Dia adding 21 points and 8 rebounds, while Thiero contributed 17 points and 9 boards. Sean Pedulla hit 3 of 4 threes, finishing with 16 points and 3 assists, and Johnell Davis added 15 points, hitting 3 of 7 from deep. Boogie Fland struggled, shooting 25% overall and 1 of 8 from three, but dished out 5 assists.

Tigers Team Defense

LSU’s defense struggled, giving up 83 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 46% from the field. They were 13/29 on two-point attempts, a 44% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, the opposition hit 12 of 25 threes, shooting 48%. LSU also sent them to the line 27 times, where they made 21 free throws, shooting 77%. LSU gave up 11 offensive rebounds.

Rebels Team Defense

LSU’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 83 points on 46% shooting from the field. They allowed 12 threes, with the opposing team shooting 48% from beyond the arc.

They also sent the other team to the line 27 times, where they hit 21 free throws (77%). LSU gave up 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Tigers vs Rebels Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Tigers have a straight up record of 3-7 while going 5-5 vs. the spread. The team averaged 73 points per game in this stretch.
  • Although Ole Miss has a straight up record of 4-6 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-5. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • The last ten games that LSU was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • In their last five games as the betting favorite, the Rebels have a strong straight up record of 5-0. In addition, their ATS record was 3-2 in these scenarios.

Tigers vs Rebels Prediction

For a point-spread wager in this Rebels vs. Rebels game, we suggest taking the Rebels at -9.5. Even though our predictions have the Rebels winning 77-71, we see the Tigers as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 146.5, and our model projects the Tigers and Rebels to reach a combined total of 148 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.