LSU Tigers vs SMU Mustangs NCAAB Betting Prediction
PublishedDecember 14, 2024,            Posted By: Maria Uebelhor
Last updated:December 14, 2024 ,

LSU Tigers vs SMU Mustangs Prediction 12/14/2024

The LSU Tigers (8-1) travel to face off against the SMU Mustangs (8-2) on Saturday, December 14th. This game will be played at Comerica Center in Frisco and televised on ESPNU. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 4:00 ET.

LSU Tigers vs SMU Mustangs

The Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

LSU improved to 8-1 on the season with an 80-71 win over Florida Gulf Coast on Sunday. The Tigers were -14.5 point favorites going into the game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The combined score of 151 points went over the O/U line of 140.5.

LSU took control early, leading 42-27 at halftime, but they allowed FGCU to score 44 points in the 2nd half while putting up 38 points of their own.

The Mustangs Are Coming Off A Win

SMU Mustangs Recent Game/Games

SMU improved to 8-2 on the season with a 63-51 win over Virginia on Saturday. The Mustangs, who were -9.5 favorites, covered the spread at home. The total points for the game were 114, falling well short of the O/U line of 135.5.

SMU led 30-28 at halftime and clamped down defensively in the second half, allowing just 23 points while scoring 33 of their own.

Tigers Offense Breakdown

LSU’s offense put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 50% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 56.9%. They were dominant inside, hitting 67.7% of their two-point attempts, while struggling from beyond the arc, connecting on just 29.6% of their threes (8/27). At the free-throw line, they were nearly perfect, making 14 of 16 attempts (87.5%).

Daimion Collins led the way with 18 points, shooting 61.5% from the field. Rahmir Barno added 15 points, hitting 70% of his shots. Corey Chest was a force on the boards, grabbing 12 rebounds to go along with his 12 points, and Keeshawn Kellman also contributed 10 rebounds.

Mustangs Offense Breakdown

SMU put up 63 points in their latest game, shooting 42% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 48%, with a strong 60% shooting on two-pointers (15/25), but they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 24% (6/25) of their threes.

At the free-throw line, the Mustangs connected on 75%, going 15/20. Kario Oquendo led the way with 21 points, shooting 60% overall and 66.7% from three (4/6). Isaac McKneely added 17 points, hitting 4/8 from deep, while Samet Yiğitoğlu was efficient inside, shooting 87.5% (7/8) and finishing with 16 points.

Tigers Team Defense

Despite LSU’s defensive struggles, they managed to hold their opponent to 71 points. The Tigers allowed a 50% shooting performance, with 29 made field goals on 58 attempts.

Inside the arc, LSU’s defense gave up 21 of 31 shots for 67%. From three-point range, they allowed 8 of 27 attempts to fall, a 29% shooting rate. The opponent also went 14/16 from the free-throw line, hitting 87% of their attempts. LSU gave up 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Mustangs Team Defense

Despite the defensive struggles, LSU managed to limit the damage from beyond the arc, holding their opponent to 29% shooting on threes, with just 8 makes on 27 attempts. However, they couldn’t contain the inside game, giving up 67% shooting on two-pointers, with 21 makes on 31 tries.

The Tigers also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 16 times, where they converted 14 of those attempts, shooting 87%. LSU allowed 11 offensive rebounds in the game.

Tigers vs Mustangs Trends

  • In their last three road games, LSU has averaged 78 points per game while allowing 73. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last five home contests, the Mustangs offense has averaged 75 points per game while allowing an average of 79. SMU posted an overall record of 1-4 while going 1-4 ATS.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Tigers have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Mustangs have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 8-2.

Tigers vs Mustangs Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Mustangs to win, and have the projected score sitting at 81-66. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Mustangs at -4.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 154, and our model predicts the Tigers and Mustangs to score a combined 147 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.