Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions NCAAB Betting Prediction

Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Prediction 3/1/2025

The Maryland Terrapins (21-7) travel to face off against the Penn State Nittany Lions (15-14) on Saturday, March 1st. This game will be played at Bryce Jordan Center in University Park and televised on BTN. Both Maryland and Penn State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 12:00 ET.

Maryland Terrapins vs Penn State Nittany Lions

The Terrapins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Maryland Terrapins Recent Game/Games

Maryland’s season record dropped to 21-7 after a 58-55 loss to Michigan State on Wednesday. The Terrapins, who were -4 favorites at home, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread.

Maryland led 23-21 at halftime but allowed 37 points in the second half while scoring 32. The game’s total points of 113 fell well below the O/U line of 149.5.

The Nittany Lions Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Penn State fell to 15-14 on the season after a 83-78 loss to Indiana on Wednesday. The Nittany Lions, who entered the game as +6 point underdogs, kept it closer than expected.

Penn State led 39-37 at halftime but allowed 46 points in the 2nd half while scoring 39. The total points for the game reached 161, going over the pre-game line of 148.5.

Terrapins Offense Breakdown

Maryland’s offense struggled in their last game, scoring just 55 points on 31.2% shooting from the field and 20% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 35.4%, and they managed only 4 offensive rebounds and 4 assists as a team.

Rodney Rice was a bright spot, hitting 4 of 8 threes and finishing with 20 points. Ja’Kobi Gillespie and Jase Richardson each added 15 points, with Richardson grabbing 8 rebounds. Maryland did shoot 80.8% from the free-throw line, converting 21 of 26 attempts.

Nittany Lions Offense Breakdown

Penn State’s offense was clicking in their last game, shooting 52.9% from the field and 60.6% on two-point attempts. They also connected on 38.9% of their threes, finishing with an effective field goal percentage of 58.8%. At the free-throw line, they hit 77.3% of their attempts, going 17-for-22.

Ace Baldwin Jr. led the way with 22 points and 5 assists, hitting 4-of-8 from beyond the arc. Oumar Ballo added 20 points and 12 rebounds, while Trey Galloway contributed 16 points and 9 assists, making 4-of-5 threes. Myles Rice was perfect from deep, hitting both of his attempts and finishing with 13 points.

Terrapins Team Defense

Maryland’s defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 58 points while allowing them to shoot only 31% from the field. The Terrapins were particularly effective in defending the three-point line, where they limited their opponent to just 4 made threes on 20 attempts, a 20% shooting performance.

Inside the arc, Maryland’s defense gave up 11 two-point baskets on 28 attempts, a 39% shooting rate. They also sent their opponent to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 21 free throws, an 80% success rate. Maryland controlled the boards, allowing just 4 offensive rebounds.

Nittany Lions Team Defense

Maryland’s defense was on point, holding their opponent to just 58 points on 31% shooting from the field. The Terrapins limited two-point opportunities, with the other team making only 11 of 28 attempts, and they struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 4 of 20 threes.

Even with the strong defensive effort, Maryland sent their opponent to the free-throw line 26 times, where they converted 21 attempts for 80%. However, the Terrapins controlled the boards, giving up just 4 offensive rebounds.

Terrapins vs Nittany Lions Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Terrapins offense has averaged 77 points per game while allowing an average of 75. Maryland posted an overall record of 2-1 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • When looking at their past five home matchups, Penn State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 68 per game. The team went 1-4 overall in these games.
  • As the betting underdog, the Nittany Lions have an ATS mark of just 7-3 in their last ten games. Penn State posted a straight up mark of 2-8 in these matchups.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Terrapins have a straight up record of 8-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 4-5-1.

Terrapins vs Nittany Lions Prediction

The Nittany Lions come in as the underdog at +4.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 155.5, and our model predicts the Terrapins and Nittany Lions to score a combined 146 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.