Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Florida State NCAAB Betting Prediction

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Florida State Prediction 3/9/2024

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (15-15) travel to face off against the Florida State Seminoles (15-15) on Saturday, March 9th. This game will be played at Donald L. Tucker Center in Tallahassee and televised on ESPN2. Both Miami (FL) and Florida State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 4:00 ET.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Florida State Seminoles

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Despite their struggles on the road this season, Miami has been the underdog in 12 of their 27 games, going just 2-10 in those contests. Their record this season is 15-15, including a losing streak of eight games. In their last game, the Hurricanes lost to Boston College, 67-57.

On the road this season, Miami has gone just 2-9, and they have lost their last five road games. For the season, their average scoring margin on the road is -8.8 points per game, while their average scoring margin at home is +9.9 points per game.

Against the spread, Miami has a .500 record of 14-14-2 this season. On the road, the Hurricanes have gone 4-6-1 vs. the spread. As the underdog, Miami is 5-6-1 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Hurricanes have gone 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Miami (FL) games this season (152.8). So far, 16 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 142 points compared to their season average of 149.2 points per game.

The Florida State Seminoles Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Florida State heads into this game with a 15-15 record overall and a 9-10 mark in ACC play. At home, the Seminoles are 10-7, and they have gone 5-5 in their last 10 games at home. Their average scoring margin at home is +4.1 points per game.

Over their last three games at home, Florida State has gone 2-1, and they are coming off an 88-73 loss to Pittsburgh. The Seminoles have been favored in 15 games this season, going 9-6 in those contests.

Florida State’s ATS record this season is 14-15-1, including an 8-8-1 mark at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Seminoles are 4-5-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Florida State’s games this season (150.1). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 164 points.

Miami (FL) Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 76.1 points per game, the Miami (FL) had a below average performance. They scored 57 points against Boston College and had a field goal percentage of 33.8%. Norchad Omier is the current leading scorer for the team, with an average of 17 as they approach today’s matchup. In addition, Matthew Cleveland brings a PPG average of 13.6 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Norchad Omier (F) 17.0 9.6 1.2
Matthew Cleveland (G) 13.6 6.1 1.7
Wooga Poplar (G) 13.5 4.9 2.2

Florida State Offense Breakdown

In their previous game, the Seminoles’ offense finished with 73 points, which is right in line with their current average of 76.3 points per contest. In terms of offense, the Seminoles have a season-long field goal percentage of 45%, putting them 150th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 344th in percentage and 314th in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Jamir Watkins (F) 15.1 5.8 2.7
Darin Green Jr (G) 11.3 3.0 0.9
Cameron Corhen (F) 9.3 3.8 0.5

Miami (FL) Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Miami (FL) defense is giving up an average of 73.1 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 9.4 threes per game vs. Florida State. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 33.5%.

Florida State Team Defense

Currently, the Seminoles’ defense holds the 271st rank in the nation, allowing 75.8 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.8 threes per game vs. Miami (FL). This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.3%.

Hurricanes vs Seminoles Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Miami (FL) has an ATS record of 1-4 while averaging 62 per game. The team went 0-5 overall in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, Florida State has an ATS mark of 1-4. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 70 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Hurricanes have a straight up record of 1-9. Their record vs the spread in these games was 4-5-1.
  • The Seminoles have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 3-2 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Hurricanes vs Seminoles Prediction

We’re putting our money on the Seminoles to win, and have the projected score sitting at 75-68. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Seminoles at -3.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 152.5 and given that our model is projecting 143 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.