Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Virginia Prediction 2/5/2024

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes (15-7) travel to face off against the Virginia Cavaliers (17-5) on Monday, February 5th. This game will be played at John Paul Jones Arena in Charlottesville and televised on ESPN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Miami (FL) Hurricanes vs Virginia Cavaliers

The Miami (FL) Hurricanes Are Coming Off A Win

Through 22 games, Miami has an overall record of 15-7. In their last outing, the Hurricanes defeated Virginia Tech by a score of 82-74. This season, Miami is 6-5 in Atlantic Coast Conference play, and they are 9-2 in non-conference action.

As the underdog, the Hurricanes have gone 2-4 this season, and they have a record of 2-5 on the road. Over their last 10 games away from home, Miami is 4-6, and they are 2-3 in their last five road games.

As the underdog this season, Miami (FL) has an ATS record of 3-2-1. On the road, their ATS mark is 3-3-1 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they have a record of 6-3-1 vs. the spread. In their last three road games, the Hurricanes have gone 2-1 ATS.

Miami’s over/under record for the season is 11-11 and today’s line of 131 is lower than the average OU line in their games this year (153.9). So far, 21 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 146 points.

The Virginia Cavaliers Are Coming Off A Win

Virginia enters this game with a 17-5 record, including a perfect 14-0 mark at home. The Cavaliers have won six straight games, and their home average scoring margin is +17.4.

As for their opponent, Miami (FL) comes in with a 9-12 record, including a 3-5 mark on the road. The Hurricanes have lost three straight games, and their average scoring margin on the road is -9.6.

At home this season, Virginia has an ATS record of 9-4-1 and an overall ATS mark of 12-9-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Cavaliers have gone 6-3-1 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 131 is lower than the average scoring total in Virginia’s games this season (123.1) and the average OU line in their games (126.7). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1.

Miami (FL) Offense Breakdown

Miami (FL)’s offense had a good outing, putting up 82 points against Virginia Tech. They achieved a 45.3% field goal percentage and went 27/29 from the free-throw line. Norchad Omier is leading the team in scoring at 18 points per contest. Matthew Cleveland has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 14.8 going into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Norchad Omier (F) 18.0 9.6 1.2
Matthew Cleveland (G) 14.8 6.2 1.9
Nijel Pack (G) 14.0 2.6 3.4

Virginia Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Cavaliers’ offense concluded with 66 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 65.4 points per contest. On the offensive front, the Cavaliers have a season-long field goal percentage of 44%, ranking 238th nationally. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are ranked 124th in terms of percentage and 253rd in three-pointers made.

Name PPG REB AST
Reece Beekman (G) 13.3 2.9 6.1
Isaac McKneely (G) 11.7 3.0 1.6
Ryan Dunn (G) 9.5 7.3 0.8

Miami (FL) Team Defense

Miami (FL)’s defense is currently in line with the NCAA average for points allowed, allowing an average of 72.2 points per game. In their previous game vs. Virginia Tech, the Hokies finished with a field goal percentage of 45% and a total of 74 points vs. Miami (FL).

Virginia Team Defense

The Cavaliers’ defense is presently ranked 2nd nationally, allowing an average of 57.8 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 6.7 threes per game vs. Miami (FL). This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 32.1%.

Hurricanes vs Cavaliers Trends

  • In their last three road games, Miami (FL) has averaged 70 points per game while allowing 69. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 2-1.
  • In their last five home games, Virginia has averaged 63 points per game while allowing 65. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-2 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Hurricanes have gone 6-3-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 5-5.
  • As the betting favorite, the Cavaliers have an ATS record of 3-1-1 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 5-0.

Hurricanes vs Cavaliers Prediction

Not only do we have the Cavaliers winning this one by a score of 75-68, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Cavaliers at -5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 131, and our model predicts the Hurricanes and Cavaliers to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.