Michigan State Spartans vs Maryland Terrapins NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs Maryland Prediction 2/26/2025

The Michigan State Spartans (22-5) travel to face off against the Maryland Terrapins (21-6) on Wednesday, February 26th. This game will be played at XFINITY Center in College Park and televised on BTN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 6:30 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Maryland Terrapins

The Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games

Michigan State improved to 22-5 on the season with a 75-62 win over Michigan on Friday. The Spartans, who were +3 point underdogs, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread.

After trailing 38-34 at halftime, Michigan State clamped down defensively, holding the Wolverines to just 24 points in the 2nd half while scoring 41 themselves. The game’s total points of 137 fell short of the 150.5 O/U line.

The Terrapins Are Coming Off A Win

Maryland improved to 21-6 on the season with an 88-71 victory over USC on Thursday. The Terrapins, who were -11.5 favorites, covered the spread in this home win.

Leading 37-27 at halftime, Maryland scored 51 points in the 2nd half while allowing 44. The game’s total points of 159 went over the pre-game line of 154.5.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

In their last game, the Spartans put up 75 points, shooting 45.9% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.5%. They connected on 9 of 22 threes, hitting 40.9% from beyond the arc, and went 10 of 15 from the free-throw line, shooting 66.7%.

Vladislav Goldin and Jase Richardson each scored 21 points, with Goldin shooting 63.6% and Richardson hitting 58.3% from the field. Tre Holloman added 18 points, knocking down 3 of 4 threes, while Danny Wolf contributed 11 points, 7 rebounds, and a team-high 8 assists.

Terrapins Offense Breakdown

Maryland’s offense put up 88 points in their last game, shooting 49.2% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 55.6%. They connected on 40% of their three-point attempts, hitting 8 of 20 from deep, and were strong from the free-throw line, making 18 of 21 for an 85.7% rate.

Ja’Kobi Gillespie led the way from beyond the arc, hitting 5 of 8 threes and finishing with 20 points. Rodney Rice and Wesley Yates III added 22 and 21 points, respectively, while Julian Reese contributed 19 points and 10 rebounds. Derik Queen was a force on the boards, grabbing 17 rebounds to go along with 13 points.

Spartans Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense allowed 62 points in their last game, with their opponents shooting 46% from the field on 23 of 50 attempts. Inside the arc, they gave up 18 two-point baskets on 29 attempts, a 62% shooting rate.

From three-point range, Michigan State’s defense held their opponents to 5 of 21 shooting, or 23%. They also sent them to the free-throw line 18 times, where they made 11, shooting 61%. Michigan State allowed 7 offensive rebounds.

Terrapins Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense gave up 62 points while allowing the opposing team to shoot 46% from the field. The Spartans struggled to contain two-point shots, with their opponents hitting 62% of those attempts (18/29).

From beyond the arc, Michigan State held their opponents to 23% shooting, as they went 5/21 on three-pointers. The Spartans also sent the other team to the free-throw line 18 times, where they made 11 (61%).

Spartans vs Terrapins Trends

  • Across their last three road contests, Michigan State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 71 points per game.
  • Across the Terrapins last five home games, the team averaged 79 points per game while allowing 74. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 3-2 straight-up.
  • The Spartans have played well in their last five games as the betting underdog, going 4-1 straight up and 5-0 against the spread.
  • In their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Terrapins have a straight up record of 8-2 and an ATS mark of 4-5-1.

Spartans vs Terrapins Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Terrapins, with a final score of 77-69, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Terrapins at -3.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 150.5 and our model has the Spartans and Terrapins finishing with a combined 146 points. Our pick is to take the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.