Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Prediction 2/21/2025

The Michigan State Spartans (21-5) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (20-5) on Friday, February 21st. This game will be played at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor and televised on FOX. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines

The Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games

The Spartans improved to 21-5 on the season with a 75-66 win over Purdue on Tuesday, February 18th. Playing at home, Michigan State entered the game as -3.5 favorites and covered the spread with the victory.

Michigan State led 33-31 at halftime and pulled away in the 2nd half, outscoring Purdue 42-35. The total points for the game were 141, falling short of the 148.5 O/U line.

The Wolverines Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan improved to 20-5 on the season after a hard-fought 86-83 win over Ohio State on Sunday. The Wolverines were +1.5 point underdogs heading into the game, but they not only pulled off the win, they also covered the spread.

Michigan led 44-39 at halftime and scored 42 points in the second half, while allowing 44 points. The total points for the game reached 169, surpassing the over/under line of 152.5.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Michigan State’s offense was firing on all cylinders in their last game, shooting 58.3% from the field and posting an effective field goal percentage of 62.5%. They were especially efficient inside the arc, hitting 68.6% of their two-point attempts.

Trey Kaufman-Renn led the way with 24 points, shooting 69.2% from the field. Braden Smith added 17 points and 8 assists, connecting on 3 of 9 from deep. The Spartans finished with 20 assists as a team, while hitting 4 of 13 from three-point range.

Wolverines Offense Breakdown

Michigan put up 86 points in their last game, shooting 48.5% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 52.9%. They hit 55.3% of their two-point attempts (26/47) and 33.3% from three-point range (7/21). At the free-throw line, they connected on 76.5%, going 13/17.

Devin Royal led the way with 26 points, shooting 62.5% overall and 60% from deep (3/5). Vladislav Goldin added 20 points and 10 rebounds, hitting 64.3% of his shots. Bruce Thornton contributed 17 points and 6 assists, while Danny Wolf also scored 17, grabbing 11 boards and dishing out 5 assists.

Spartans Team Defense

Despite Michigan State’s defensive struggles, they managed to hold their opponent to 66 points. The Spartans allowed a 58% shooting performance, with their opponent hitting 28 of 48 shots.

Inside the arc, Michigan State gave up 24 of 35 shooting (68%), while their opponent went 4 of 13 from three-point range (30%). At the free-throw line, the opponent shot 71%, making 15 of 21 attempts.

Wolverines Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense gave up 66 points in their last game, allowing the opposing team to shoot 58% from the field. They struggled particularly with two-point defense, where the other team hit 68% of their shots, going 24/35.

From beyond the arc, Michigan State held the other team to 30% shooting, with just 4 made threes on 13 attempts. They also sent the opposing team to the free-throw line 21 times, where they made 15 shots, a 71% success rate. The Spartans gave up 5 offensive rebounds.

Spartans vs Wolverines Trends

  • Across their last five road contests, Michigan State has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 3-2, while averaging 72 points per game.
  • Although Michigan has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 73 points per game in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Spartans have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
  • Across their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Wolverines have an overall record of 5-0 while going 0-5 against the spread.

Spartans vs Wolverines Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Wolverines to secure the win, with an expected final score of 77-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -3.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 152.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.