Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins Prediction 2/4/2025

The Michigan State Spartans (18-3) travel to face off against the UCLA Bruins (16-6) on Tuesday, February 4th. This game will be played at Pauley Pavilion in Los Angeles and televised on PEAC. UCLA is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the USC. Tip-off is set for 10:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs UCLA Bruins

The Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State Spartans Recent Game/Games

Michigan State’s season record fell to 18-3 after a 70-64 loss to USC on Saturday. The Spartans were -3.5 favorites going into the road game, but they didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 134, which was under the O/U line of 150.5.

Michigan State trailed 35-32 at halftime and couldn’t turn things around in the 2nd half, scoring 32 points while allowing 35.

The Bruins Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

UCLA Bruins Recent Game/Games

UCLA improved to 16-6 on the season with a dominant 78-52 win over Oregon on Thursday, January 30th. The Bruins, who were -5 favorites, covered the spread with ease. The game’s total points of 130 fell short of the O/U line of 141.5.

UCLA led 40-26 at halftime and continued their strong play in the 2nd half, outscoring Oregon 38-26.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

Michigan State put up 64 points in their last game, shooting 42.1% from the field and 33.3% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 45.6%, with a 45.2% success rate on two-point attempts. The Spartans struggled at the free-throw line, hitting just 57.9% of their attempts.

Desmond Claude led the way with 19 points and 6 rebounds, while Wesley Yates III added 15 points, going 3-for-3 from deep. Chibuzo Agbo contributed 14 points despite shooting 28.6% overall and 22.2% from three-point range. Jeremy Fears Jr. dished out 6 assists, and the team finished with 16 assists and 11 offensive rebounds.

Bruins Offense Breakdown

UCLA put up 78 points in their last game, shooting 55.6% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 66.7%. They connected on 47.8% of their threes, going 11-for-23, and hit 61.3% of their two-point attempts.

Eric Dailey Jr. was nearly perfect, shooting 8-for-9 overall and 3-for-3 from deep, finishing with 21 points in 23 minutes. Tyler Bilodeau and Dylan Andrews each added 15 points, with both hitting 3 threes at a 60% clip.

Spartans Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense gave up 70 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 42% from the field on 24 of 57 attempts. Inside the arc, they allowed 17 two-point baskets on 35 attempts, a 48% shooting rate.

From three-point range, the Spartans held their opponents to 31% shooting, as they hit 7 of 22 attempts. Michigan State also sent their opponents to the free-throw line 19 times, where they converted 15 free throws for a 78% success rate. The Spartans gave up 10 offensive rebounds in the game.

Bruins Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense gave up 70 points in their last game, with opponents shooting 42% from the field. The Spartans allowed 17 two-point field goals on 35 attempts, a 48% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, the opposition hit 7 of 22 threes, shooting 31%. Michigan State also sent them to the line 19 times, where they made 15 free throws, a 78% success rate. The Spartans gave up 10 offensive rebounds.

Spartans vs Bruins Trends

  • In their last five road games, Michigan State has averaged 76 points per game while allowing 69 . The team’s record in this stretch was 4-1 while going 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Although UCLA has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 1-1-1. The team averaged 71 points per game in these games.
  • In their last ten games as the betting underdog, the Spartans have a straight up record of 4-6 and an ATS mark of 7-3.
  • Through their last five games as the favorite, the Bruins have an ATS record of 3-1-1 and a straight up mark of 5-0.

Spartans vs Bruins Prediction

Not only do we have the Bruins winning this one by a score of 76-71, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Bruins at -2.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 140.5, and our model projects the Spartans and Bruins to reach a combined total of 147 points. Our bet is on taking the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.