Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State vs Michigan Prediction 2/17/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (16-9) travel to face off against the Michigan Wolverines (8-17) on Saturday, February 17th. This game will be played at Crisler Center in Ann Arbor and televised on FOX. Michigan State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Illinois. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Michigan Wolverines

The Michigan State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State will be looking to extend their two-game win streak when they take on the Michigan Wolverines on the road. So far this season, the Spartans have gone 16-9, including an 8-6 record in Big Ten play. On the road, Michigan State has struggled, going just 2-5.

For the season, the Spartans have been favored in 19 of their 25 games, going 14-5 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home is +14.8, compared to -4.6 on the road. In their last game, Michigan State defeated Penn State, 80-72.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 15-10 this season and they are 12-7 vs. the spread when favored. On the road, the Spartans are 3-4 vs. the spread this year and over their last 10 road games, they have an ATS mark of 5-5. In their last three road games, Michigan State is 1-2 vs. the spread and they are 2-1 vs. the spread in their last three games as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is very close to the average over/under line in Michigan State’s games this season (141.5). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 144 points, which is higher than the average over/under line in their games this year.

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan comes into this game as a 6.5-point underdog. They are 8-17 overall and have lost two straight games. In Big Ten play, the Wolverines are just 3-11.

At home, Michigan has gone 5-10 this season, and they are 3-9 as the underdog. Their average scoring margin at home is .0, and over their last 10 games at home, they have gone just 3-7.

As the underdog, Michigan has an ATS record of just 3-9 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 4-11 for the year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines have gone just 2-8 vs. the spread.

So far this season, the over/under record for Michigan games is 14-10. The average over/under line in their games is 149.6 and their games have averaged 154.6 points. Today’s over/under line of 143.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-2 and their games have averaged 147 points during this stretch.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Spartans’ offense concluded with 80 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.3 points per contest. Tyson Walker is leading the team in scoring at 18.4 points per contest. Malik Hall has also been a key contributor with a PPG average of 12.5 going into the game.

Tyson Walker (G) 18.4 2.7 2.9
Malik Hall (F) 12.5 5.2 2.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.4 3.2 5.2

Michigan Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 75.7 points per game, the Michigan had a below average performance. They scored 68 points against Illinois and had a field goal percentage of 42.1%. Leading the team in scoring was Terrance Williams II with 17 points. Tarris Reed Jr. also added 13 points for the Wolverines.

Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 14.9 7.2 2.6
Dug McDaniel (G) 16.8 3.8 4.7
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.4 4.3 1.3

Michigan State Team Defense

At present, the Spartans’ defense is nationally ranked 40th, allowing 65.9 points per game. In their most recent game, the Michigan State defense struggled to defend the three-point line, as Penn State knocked down 12 three-pointers on their way to 72 points.

Michigan Team Defense

Currently, the Wolverines’ defense holds the 310th rank in the nation, allowing 79.1 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Michigan’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 46.1% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 36.1% this season.

Spartans vs Wolverines Trends

  • When looking at their past five road matchups, Michigan State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 66 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
  • Although Michigan has a straight up record of 0-3 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 63 points per game in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • Michigan State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 2-1 SU and 2-1 ATS in their last three games.

Spartans vs Wolverines Prediction

Coming in as the underdogs at +6.5, we have the Wolverines as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up, if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 143.5, and our model predicts the Spartans and Wolverines to score a combined 143 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.