Michigan State Spartans vs North Carolina Tar Heels NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan State vs North Carolina Prediction 11/27/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (5-2) travel to face off against the North Carolina Tar Heels (4-2) on Wednesday, November 27th. This game will be played at Lahaina Civic Center in Maui and televised on ESPN2. Both Michigan State and North Carolina will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:30 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs North Carolina Tar Heels

The Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State’s season hit a bump with a 71-63 home loss to Memphis on Tuesday. The Spartans, who were -2.5 favorites, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total points of 134 fell short of the 150.5 O/U line.

After trailing 34-31 at halftime, the Spartans couldn’t turn things around in the 2nd half, scoring 32 points while allowing 37.

The Tar Heels Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

North Carolina fell to Auburn 85-72 on Tuesday, failing to cover the +3.5 spread. The Tar Heels were at home but couldn’t capitalize on the opportunity. The total points for the game were 157, which was under the 167.5 O/U line.

After trailing 40-32 at halftime, North Carolina put up 40 points in the 2nd half but allowed 45, leading to the loss. They’ll need to tighten up defensively and find ways to close the gap in future games.

Spartans Offense Breakdown

In their last game, Michigan State put up 63 points, shooting 42.3% from the field and 35% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 50%, and they hit 12 of 19 free throws, good for 63.2%.

Tyrese Hunter led the way with 23 points, hitting 5 of 10 threes, while Jase Richardson added 18 points, connecting on 3 of 5 from deep. PJ Haggerty contributed 16 points and 9 rebounds, despite going just 1 for 4 from beyond the arc.

Tar Heels Offense Breakdown

North Carolina put up 72 points in their last game, shooting 43.5% from the field and 37.5% from beyond the arc. Their effective field goal percentage was 48.4%, and they struggled at the free-throw line, hitting just 63.2% of their attempts.

Johni Broome led the way with 23 points and 19 rebounds, shooting 50% overall and from three-point range. Seth Trimble added 17 points, connecting on 3 of 6 from deep, while Miles Kelly contributed 15 points, hitting 3 of 7 from three.

Spartans Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense gave up 71 points in their last game, allowing the opposing team to shoot 42% from the field. Inside the arc, they connected on 15 of 32 two-point attempts, good for 46% shooting.

From three-point range, the opposition hit 7 of 20 shots, a 35% clip. Michigan State also sent them to the free-throw line 19 times, where they made 12, shooting 63%. The Spartans allowed 12 offensive rebounds.

Tar Heels Team Defense

Michigan State’s defense gave up 71 points, with their opponents shooting 42% from the field. They allowed 15 two-point baskets on 32 attempts, a 46% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Michigan State’s defense conceded 7 threes on 20 attempts, a 35% success rate. They also sent their opponents to the line 19 times, where they made 12 free throws, shooting 63%. Michigan State gave up 12 offensive rebounds.

Spartans vs Tar Heels Trends

  • Through their last ten road contests, the Spartans offense has averaged 67 points per game while allowing an average of 68. Michigan State posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 6-4 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Tar Heels have a straight up record of 7-3 while going 7-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 75 points per game in this stretch.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the underdog, the Spartans have a straight up record of 2-8. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-5.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Tar Heels have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Spartans vs Tar Heels Prediction

We’re calling a win for the Tar Heels, with a final score of 78-68, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Tar Heels at -4.5.

As for the over/under, the the line is currently at 156.5, and our model projects the Spartans and Tar Heels to reach a combined total of 146 points. Our bet is on taking the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.