Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers NCAA Betting Prediction

Michigan State vs Wisconsin Badgers Prediction 1/26/2024

The Michigan State Spartans (12-7) travel to face off against the Wisconsin Badgers (15-4) on Friday, January 26th. This game will be played at Kohl Center in Madison and televised on FS1. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 8:00 ET.

Michigan State Spartans vs Wisconsin Badgers

The Michigan State Spartans Are Coming Off A Win

Michigan State is currently 12-7 on the season and have won three straight games. They are 4-4 in Big Ten play and 8-3 in non-conference action. On the road, they are just 1-3 compared to 11-4 at home.

As the underdog, the Spartans are 2-3 this year and 10-4 when they are favored. They are coming off a 61-59 win over Maryland and are 1-2 on the road in their last three games. Over their last 10 road games, they have gone 4-6.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 11-8 this season, including a mark of 2-2 vs. the spread on the road. As the underdog, the Spartans have gone 3-2 vs. the spread this year and are 5-5 in their last 10 games as the underdog. Their ATS mark vs. the spread as the underdog in their last three games is 3-0.

Michigan State’s over/under record this season is 9-10 and the average scoring total in their games is 141.4 points. Today’s over/under line of 137.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (142.2) and their average scoring total over the last three games is 130 points. So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line.

The Wisconsin Badgers Are Coming Off A Win

Wisconsin is 12-1 at home this season, and they have won their last 11 games at the Kohl Center. They are coming off a 61-59 win over Minnesota, and they are 7-1 in Big Ten play this season. For the year, the Badgers are 15-4, and they have won two straight games.

Overall, Wisconsin has been favored in 13 of their 19 games, going 11-2 in those matchups. Their average scoring margin at home this season is +14.1 points per game, compared to -2.7 on the road.

Wisconsin has an ATS record of 10-9 this season and is 8-5 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Badgers are 5-5 ATS.

Wisconsin’s over/under record for the season sits at 10-8-1. So far, their games have averaged 142.6 points compared to an average over/under line of 137.6. Today’s line of 137.5 is similar to the average OU line in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 153 points.

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

Michigan State offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 61 points against Maryland. In that game, they made 7/16 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42%. In terms of three-point shooting, the Spartans offense has been good from outside, hitting 36% of their three-pointers on an average of 18.9 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 47%.

Name PPG REB AST
Tyson Walker (G) 19.7 2.7 2.9
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.2 3.3 5.0
Malik Hall (F) 11.1 5.2 2.2

Wisconsin Offense Breakdown

Wisconsin offense recently wrapped up a game with a total of 61 points against Minnesota. In that game, they made 7/17 three-point attempts and achieved a field goal percentage of 42.6%. Leading Wisconsin in scoring vs. Minnesota was Tyler Wahl with his 16 points. AJ Storr also added 15 points for the Badgers.

Name PPG REB AST
AJ Storr (G) 15.3 3.6 1.1
Tyler Wahl (F) 11.7 5.4 1.6
Steven Crowl (F) 11.7 7.5 2.5

Michigan State Team Defense

So far this season, the Michigan State defense has been performing well, ranking 36th in the country at 65.2 points allowed per contest. Against Maryland in their most recent game, the Michigan State defense gave up a total of 59 points while allowing Maryland to hit 42% of their shots.

Wisconsin Team Defense

At present, the Badgers’ defense is nationally ranked 63rd, allowing 66.9 points per game. Wisconsin’s three-point defense is currently 125th in the country at 7.1 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 45.3% of their shots vs. Wisconsin.

Spartans vs Badgers Trends

  • In their last ten games away from home, the Spartans have a straight up record of 4-6 while going 5-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 75 points per game in these contests.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Badgers have a straight up record of 5-5 while going 3-7 vs. the spread. The team averaged 68 points per game in this stretch.
  • As the betting underdog, the Spartans have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Michigan State posted a straight up mark of 4-6 in these matchups.
  • Through their previous five contests as the betting favorite, the Badgers have a strong record of 4-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 2-3.

Spartans vs Badgers Prediction

Not only do we have the Badgers winning this one by a score of 76-68, but we see them covering the spread. Our pick is to grab the Badgers at -2.5.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 137.5 and our model has the Spartans and Badgers finishing with a combined 144 points. Our pick is to take the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.