Michigan Wolverines vs Illinois Fighting Illini NCCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan Wolverines vs Illinois Prediction 2/13/2024

The Michigan Wolverines (8-16) travel to face off against the Illinois Fighting Illini (17-6) on Tuesday, February 13th. This game will be played at State Farm Center in Champaign and televised on PEAC. Both Michigan and Illinois will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 7:00 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Illinois Fighting Illini

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan is coming off a 79-59 loss to Nebraska and has gone just 2-8 on the road over their last 10 games. They are 2-6 on the road this season, and their average scoring margin on the road is -7.6 points per game. As the underdog, the Wolverines are 3-8.

Overall, Michigan is 8-16 this season, and they are 3-10 in Big Ten play. They have gone 5-6 in non-conference games.

As the underdog this season, Michigan has a 3-8 record vs. the spread and an ATS mark of 6-17 overall. On the road, the Wolverines are just 2-6 vs. the spread this year and they have gone 0-3 ATS in their last three road games. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Michigan has a 2-8 ATS record.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan games is 13-10 with an average of 154.1 points scored in their games. Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is similar to their season average. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 0-3 with an average scoring total of 135 points.

The Illinois Fighting Illini Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Illinois will be looking to bounce back from a loss to Michigan State in its last game. The Fighting Illini have been a much better team at home this season, going 13-2 compared to 4-4 on the road.

Overall, Illinois has been favored in 18 of its 23 games, going 15-3 in those matchups. At home, the Fighting Illini have a scoring margin of +15.5 points per game.

Against the spread, Illinois is 11-10-2 this season. At home, their ATS mark is 6-8-1. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Fighting Illini are only 5-5 vs. the spread.

Today’s over/under line of 153.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Illinois’ games this season (147.2). So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and the average scoring total in those games is 166 points.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

The Michigan offense is coming off a game in which they scored 59 points vs. Nebraska. Overall their field goal percentage was 32.3% while connecting on 8 threes. The team’s top scorer is Olivier Nkamhoua, who enters today’s matchup with an average of 15, while Dug McDaniel also carries a PPG average of 16.8 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 15.0 7.4 2.6
Dug McDaniel (G) 16.8 3.8 4.7
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.2 4.2 1.4

Illinois Offense Breakdown

Illinois’ offense is coming off a strong performance, scoring 80 points against Michigan State. They had an overall field goal percentage of 43.3% and made 17/20 free throws. Terrence Shannon Jr. led the scoring for the Fighting Illini, contributing 28 points. Additionally, Coleman Hawkins chipped in with 14 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Marcus Domask (F) 15.5 4.6 3.4
Terrence Shannon Jr. (G) 20.5 4.2 2.4
Quincy Guerrier (F) 10.7 7.4 0.2

Michigan Team Defense

At present, the Wolverines’ defense is nationally ranked 305th, allowing 78.4 points per game. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.3 threes per game vs. Illinois. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 35.6%.

Illinois Team Defense

So far, the Fighting Illini’s defense is ranked 130th in the country at 70.4 points per contest. In today’s game, the Illinois defense will be looking to once again do a good job defending the three-point line, as they gave up just 5 three-pointers while giving up 88 points.

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini Trends

  • In their last three games away from home, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 0-3 while going 0-3 vs. the spread. The team averaged 62 points per game in this stretch.
  • Across the Fighting Illini last ten home games, the team averaged 81 points per game while allowing 78. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 6-3-1, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
  • In their last three contests as the favorite, Illinois has a poor record vs the spread going 1-2. But, they still put together a straight up mark of 3-0.

Wolverines vs Fighting Illini Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Fighting Illini vs. Fighting Illini matchup, we’re leaning towards the Fighting Illini at -15.5. Although our projections show the Fighting Illini winning 75-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Wolverines for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 153.5, and our model predicts the Wolverines and Fighting Illini to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.