Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans NCAAB Betting Prediction

Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Prediction 1/30/2024

The Michigan Wolverines (7-13) travel to face off against the Michigan State Spartans (12-8) on Tuesday, January 30th. This game will be played at Breslin Center in East Lansing and televised on PEAC. Both Michigan and Michigan State will be looking to bounce back from losses in their previous games. Tip-off is scheduled for 9:00 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Michigan State Spartans

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan has struggled on the road this season, going just 2-4. Their average scoring margin on the road is -3.7 points per game, and they have lost their last three road games.

Overall, the Wolverines are 7-13 this season, including a 2-7 record in Big Ten play. They have lost three straight games, and their record as the underdog is 2-6.

As the underdog, Michigan has gone just 2-6 vs. the spread this season. Their overall ATS record is 5-14, and they are 2-4 vs. the spread on the road. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, the Wolverines are just 4-6 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan games is 13-6 and their matchups have averaged 157.7 points per game. Today’s over/under line of 145.5 is lower than the average OU line in their games (150.6). So far, 14 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 3-0 and their matchups have averaged 163 points.

The Michigan State Spartans Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan State enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 14 of their 20 games this season. They have a record of 10-4 in those games. At home, the Spartans are 11-4 this season, and they have won their last seven games at the Breslin Center.

Overall, Michigan State is 12-8, including a 4-5 record in Big Ten games. In their last game, they lost to Wisconsin by a score of 81-66. For the season, the Spartans have an average scoring margin of +15.4 points per game at home.

Michigan State has an ATS record of 11-9 this season. At home, the Spartans are 9-6 vs. the spread. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, Michigan State has gone 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Michigan State games is 10-10 and the average over/under line in their games is 141.9. So far, 12 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line of 145.5. The average scoring total in their last three games is 135 points.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Michigan offense put up 78 points against Iowa. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.9% and made 9 threes. In terms of three-point shooting, the Wolverines offense has been good from outside, hitting 37% of their three-pointers on an average of 23.6 attempts per game. Their overall field goal percentage is currently 46%.

Name PPG REB AST
Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 16.3 7.1 2.6
Dug McDaniel (G) 17.2 4.1 5.1
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.7 4.3 1.4

Michigan State Offense Breakdown

In contrast to their season average of 75.7 points per game, the Michigan State had a below average performance. They scored 66 points against Wisconsin and had a field goal percentage of 41.7%. Leading Michigan State in scoring vs. Wisconsin was A.J Hoggard with his 19 points. Malik Hall also added 13 points for the Spartans.

Name PPG REB AST
Tyson Walker (G) 19.3 2.6 3.1
A.J Hoggard (G) 11.6 3.2 5.0
Malik Hall (F) 11.2 5.0 2.1

Michigan Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Michigan defense is giving up an average of 79.2 points per contest. So far, the Michigan defense is giving up an average of 10.0 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 11.9 times per game (583rd).

Michigan State Team Defense

In the current season, the Michigan State defense has excelled, sitting 48th in the nation by allowing 66.0 points per game. Michigan State’s three-point defense is currently 141st in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 40.4% of their shots vs. Michigan State.

Wolverines vs Spartans Trends

  • Although Michigan has a straight up record of 1-4 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 1-4. The team averaged 74 points per game in these games.
  • When looking at their past three home matchups, Michigan State has an ATS record of 2-1 while averaging 65 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • The Spartans have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Wolverines vs Spartans Prediction

In this Spartans vs. Spartans matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Spartans at -11.5. While we project the Spartans to win 75-69, our recommendation is to bet on the Wolverines for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 145.5, and our model predicts the Wolverines and Spartans to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.