Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers NCAAB Betting prediction

Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Prediction 1/23/2024

The Michigan Wolverines (7-11) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (17-2) on Tuesday, January 23rd. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on PEAC. Purdue is coming off a win in their previous game, while Michigan is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Illinois. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Michigan Wolverines vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Michigan Wolverines Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Michigan enters this game as a +17.5 underdog. They are 2-5 in Big Ten play and have gone 7-11 overall this season. The Wolverines have been better on the road than at home, going 2-3 compared to 4-8.

Over their last 10 games away from home, the Wolverines are just 3-7. They have gone 2-3 on the road this season and have lost their last two games.

As the underdog this season, Michigan has an ATS record of just 2-5 and their ATS record overall is 5-12. On the road, their ATS mark is 2-3 and over their last 10 games as the underdog, they are 5-5 vs. the spread. In their last 3 road games, the Wolverines are 1-2 ATS.

Michigan’s over/under record this season is 11-6 and today’s line of 152.5 is higher than the average over/under line in their games (149.8). So far, 10 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 139 points.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

Purdue enters this game as the favorite, as they have been in 18 of their 19 games this season. The Boilermakers are 16-2 when favored, and they come in with a three-game winning streak. On the year, they are 17-2, including a perfect 12-0 mark at home.

In their most recent game, Purdue defeated Iowa by a score of 84-70. Over their last 10 games at home, the Boilermakers have gone a perfect 10-0, and they have won their last five games overall.

As the favorite, Purdue has gone 10-6-2 vs. the spread this year and 6-4 in their last 10 games as the favorite. At home, the Boilermakers are 7-4-1 ATS this season and 6-4 in their last 10 home games vs. the spread. However, they are just 0-3 ATS in their last 3 home games and 2-3 ATS in their last 5 home contests.

Today’s over/under line of 152.5 is lower than the average over/under line for Purdue games this year (148.9). So far, 13 of their games have finished with more points than today’s OU line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average scoring total of 159 points compared to their season average of 154.4 points per game.

Michigan Offense Breakdown

In their recent matchup, the Michigan offense ended with 73 points against Illinois. They finished with an overall field goal percentage of 47.6% and made 3 threes. Leading the team in scoring was Tarris Reed Jr. with 20 points. Olivier Nkamhoua also added 16 points for the Wolverines.

Olivier Nkamhoua (F) 17.0 7.3 2.6
Dug McDaniel (G) 17.4 3.9 5.1
Terrance Williams II (F) 12.6 4.2 1.3

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Purdue’s offense looked good, scoring 84 points against Iowa. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 44.8% and made 15/21 free throws. Currently leading the team in scoring is Zach Edey who comes into today’s matchup averaging 23.3. Lance Jones also heads into the game with a PPG average of 11.9.

Zach Edey (C) 23.3 11.5 1.7
Lance Jones (G) 11.9 2.6 2.4
Braden Smith (G) 11.8 5.4 7.2

Michigan Team Defense

So far, the Wolverines’ defense is ranked 274th in the country at 77.6 points per contest. So far, the Michigan defense is giving up an average of 9.9 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 12.4 times per game (606th).

Purdue Team Defense

At present, the Boilermakers’ defense is nationally ranked 104th, allowing 69.4 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Purdue’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 41.0% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 31.2% this season.

Wolverines vs Boilermakers Trends

  • Through their last three road contests, the Wolverines offense has averaged 73 points per game while allowing an average of 74. Michigan posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Boilermakers have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-5-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 72 points per game in this stretch.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Wolverines have a straight up record of 1-4 and an ATS mark of 1-4.
  • As the betting favorite, the Boilermakers have an ATS mark of just 6-4 in their last ten games. Purdue posted a straight up mark of 9-1 in these matchups.

Wolverines vs Boilermakers Prediction

For a point-spread bet in this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers matchup, we’re leaning towards the Boilermakers at -17.5. Although our projections show the Boilermakers winning 75-69, we suggest placing your bet on the Wolverines for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 152.5, and our model predicts the Wolverines and Boilermakers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.