Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Volunteers NCAAB Betting Prediction

Middle Tennessee vs Tennessee Prediction 12/23/2024

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (7-3) travel to face off against the Tennessee Volunteers (11-0) on Monday, December 23rd. This game will be played at Thompson-Boling Arena at Food City Center in Knoxville and televised on SECN. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs Tennessee Volunteers

The Blue Raiders Are Coming Off A Win

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Recent Game/Games

Middle Tennessee improved to 7-3 on the season with a narrow 67-65 win over Lipscomb on Thursday, December 19th. Playing at home, the Blue Raiders were -2.5 point favorites heading into the game but failed to cover the spread.

Middle Tennessee led 37-30 at halftime but allowed Lipscomb to score 35 points in the 2nd half while scoring just 30 themselves. The game’s total points of 132 fell short of the 148.5 O/U line.

The Volunteers Are Coming Off A Win

Tennessee improved to 11-0 this season with an 84-36 win over Western Carolina on Tuesday. The Volunteers were heavy favorites at -36.5 and covered the spread, while the total points fell short of the 142.5 over/under line.

Leading 38-15 at halftime, Tennessee continued their dominance in the second half, outscoring the Catamounts 46-21.

Blue Raiders Offense Breakdown

Middle Tennessee’s offense struggled in their last game, shooting just 38.1% from the field and 28.6% from three-point range. Their effective field goal percentage was 42.9%, and they hit only 59.1% of their free throws.

Jacob Ognacevic was a bright spot, scoring 32 points on 12-of-18 shooting, while also grabbing 6 rebounds. The Blue Raiders had 19 offensive rebounds but managed just 8 assists as a team.

Volunteers Offense Breakdown

Tennessee’s offense put up 84 points in their latest game, shooting 46.4% from the field. They were particularly effective inside, hitting 57.1% of their two-point attempts, while their three-point shooting lagged at 29.6% (8/27). The Volunteers were strong at the free-throw line, connecting on 85.7% of their attempts (12/14).

Chaz Lanier led the way with 19 points and 7 rebounds, shooting 42.1% overall and 42.9% from three (3/7). Jordan Gainey added 17 points, hitting 75% of his shots and 50% from beyond the arc (2/4). Tennessee also dished out 22 assists and grabbed 14 offensive rebounds in the win.

Blue Raiders Team Defense

Middle Tennessee’s defense held their opponent to 65 points on 38% shooting from the field, including 42% on two-point attempts (18/42).

From beyond the arc, they allowed 6 threes on 21 attempts, a 28% shooting rate. The opponent also shot 59% from the free-throw line, hitting 13 of 22 attempts.

Volunteers Team Defense

Middle Tennessee’s defense held their opponent to 65 points on 38% shooting from the field. They limited two-point attempts to 42% shooting, with the opposing team making 18 of 42 shots.

From beyond the arc, the Blue Raiders allowed 6 threes on 21 attempts, a 28% shooting rate. The opponent also went 13/22 from the free-throw line, shooting 59%.

Blue Raiders vs Volunteers Trends

  • Through their last ten road games, Middle Tennessee has an ATS record of just 4-5-1. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 72 points per game.
  • Although Tennessee has a straight up record of 8-2 in their last ten home games, they have not held up as well vs the spread going 5-4-1. The team averaged 76 points per game in these games.
  • In their last five games as the betting underdog, the Blue Raiders have a strong straight up record of 3-2. In addition, their ATS record was 3-1-1 in these scenarios.
  • In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Volunteers have a straight up record of 3-0, while going 1-1-1 against the spread.

Blue Raiders vs Volunteers Prediction

For a pick on the point-spread in this Volunteers vs. Blue Raiders matchup, our bet is to grab the Blue Raiders at +26.5. Even though our projections have the Volunteers winning 75-72, we see the Blue Raiders as the play on the point-spread.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 142.5 and given that our model is projecting 147 points between the teams, we like the over.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.