Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue NCAAB Betting Prediction

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Prediction 2/15/2024

The Minnesota Golden Gophers (15-8) travel to face off against the Purdue Boilermakers (22-2) on Thursday, February 15th. This game will be played at Mackey Arena in West Lafayette and televised on BTN. Purdue is coming off a win in their previous game, while Minnesota is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Iowa. Tip-off is set for 8:30 ET.

Minnesota Golden Gophers vs Purdue Boilermakers

The Minnesota Golden Gophers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Minnesota heads into this game as a 16.5-point underdog, and they have gone 5-7 this season as the underdog. They are 15-8 overall this season and 6-6 in Big Ten play. On the road, the Golden Gophers are just 2-5 this season, and their average scoring margin in these games is -6.3 points per game.

Minnesota’s last game was a 90-85 loss to Iowa, and they have gone 3-7 in their last ten road games. On the season, they have gone 9-2 in non-conference games compared to 6-6 in Big Ten play.

Minnesota has been impressive against the spread this season, going 18-4-1. They have been even better vs. the spread as the underdog, going 9-3, and they have gone 9-1 vs. the spread in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Golden Gophers are 5-2 vs. the spread this season and they have gone 3-0 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games. Overall, they have gone 6-4 vs. the spread in their last 10 road games.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is higher than the average over/under line in Minnesota’s games this year (143.8). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s over/under line. In their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 and the average scoring total across those games is 143 points.

The Purdue Boilermakers Are Coming Off A Win

Coming into tonight’s game, Purdue is 15-0 at home and has a scoring margin of +21.1 points per game at Mackey Arena. The Boilermakers have won each of their last 15 games at home.

On the year, Purdue is 22-2 overall and has won eight straight games. In Big Ten play, the Boilermakers are 11-2 compared to their non-conference record of 11-0.

At home this season, Purdue has an ATS record of 9-5-1 and an overall ATS mark of 14-8-2. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Boilermakers are 5-5 vs. the spread. On the year, Purdue is 13-8-2 vs. the spread when favored.

Today’s over/under line of 146.5 is lower than the average over/under line in Purdue’s games this year (148.2). So far, 15 of their games have finished with more points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 1-1-1.

Minnesota Offense Breakdown

Minnesota is coming off a good offensive performance, putting up 85 points vs. Iowa. This figure is more than their season average of 76.1 points per game. Leading the team in scoring is Dawson Garcia, who is averaging 17.3 heading into today’s matchup. Additionally, Cam Christie also maintains a PPG average of 11.3 heading into game.

Name PPG REB AST
Dawson Garcia (F) 17.3 6.5 2.0
Cam Christie (G) 11.3 3.8 2.2
Mike Mitchell Jr. (G) 10.3 2.6 2.9

Purdue Offense Breakdown

In their latest game, Purdue offense put up 79 points against Indiana. They recorded an overall field goal percentage of 42.4% and made 8 threes. Currently leading the team in scoring is Zach Edey who comes into today’s matchup averaging 23.2. Lance Jones also heads into the game with a PPG average of 12.8.

Name PPG REB AST
Zach Edey (C) 23.2 11.7 1.8
Lance Jones (G) 12.8 2.8 2.4
Braden Smith (G) 12.7 5.6 7.1

Minnesota Team Defense

Currently, the Golden Gophers’ defense holds the 87th rank in the nation, allowing 68.6 points per game. The Minnesota defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 90 points and allowed Iowa to connect on 5 threes.

Purdue Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Purdue defense is giving up an average of 69.5 points per contest. Purdue’s three-point defense is currently 156th in the country at 7.5 made threes per game. In terms of overall field goal percentage, opponets have hit 41.3% of their shots vs. Purdue.

Golden Gophers vs Boilermakers Trends

  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Minnesota has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 78 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
  • Across their last five home contests, Purdue has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-2. Their overall mark in these games was 4-1, while averaging 77 points per game.
  • As the betting underdog, the Golden Gophers have an ATS record of 5-0 in their last five games. In these matchups their, straight up record was 3-2.
  • The Boilermakers have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 3-0 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Golden Gophers vs Boilermakers Prediction

In this Boilermakers vs. Boilermakers matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Boilermakers at -16.5. While we project the Boilermakers to win 75-69, our recommendation is to bet on the Golden Gophers for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 146.5, and our model predicts the Golden Gophers and Boilermakers to score a combined 144 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.