Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats NCAAB Betting prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Prediction 1/17/2024

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (12-4) travel to face off against the Kentucky Wildcats (12-3) on Wednesday, January 17th. This game will be played at Rupp Arena in Lexington and televised on ESPN2. Kentucky is coming off a win in their previous game, while Mississippi State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Alabama. Tip-off is set for 7:00 ET.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Kentucky Wildcats

The Mississippi State Bulldogs Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Mississippi State enters this game as a 5.5-point underdog, and they have gone 1-2 in Southeastern Conference play. Overall, they are 12-4, including an 11-2 non-conference record. The Bulldogs have gone 4-2 on the road this season, and they are coming off an 82-74 loss to Alabama.

So far, Mississippi State has been the underdog in just one game, and they are 11-4 when they are favored. Over their last 10 road games, the Bulldogs have gone 5-5, and their average scoring margin on the road this season is +9.3.

Against the spread, Mississippi State has a record of 9-7 this season. On the road, their ATS mark is 4-2. As the underdog, the Bulldogs are 1-0 vs. the spread this year. Over their last 10 games as the underdog, Mississippi State is 6-4 vs. the spread.

This season, the over/under record for Mississippi State games is 7-8-1. So far, the average point total in their games is 140.1, which is 2.9 points lower than the average over/under line of 137.2. Today’s over/under line of 156 is higher than the average scoring total in their games. Over their last three games, the over/under record is 2-1 with an average of 145 points.

The Kentucky Wildcats Are Coming Off A Win

At home this season, Kentucky has been dominant, going 9-2 with an average scoring margin of +17.4 points per game. Over their last 10 games at home, the Wildcats have gone 8-2.

So far this season, Kentucky has been favored in 11 of their 15 games, going 10-1 in those contests. Overall, the Wildcats have a record of 12-3, including a 2-0 mark in Southeastern Conference play.

As the favorite this season, Kentucky has gone 7-4 vs. the spread. Their home ATS record is 7-4, and over their last 10 games as the favorite, they have gone 6-4. At home this year, the Wildcats are 4-1 vs. the spread and 3-0 in their last three home games.

So far this season, the over/under record for Kentucky games is 11-3 and the average scoring total in their games is 165.2 points. Currently, the average over/under line in their games is 154 points, and today’s line of 156 is higher than that average. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 175 points, and the over/under record in their last 10 games is 9-1.

Mississippi State Offense Breakdown

In their recent game, the Bulldogs’ offense concluded with 74 points, consistent with their ongoing season average of 75.2 points per contest. Josh Hubbard is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 15.1. Meanwhile, Cameron Matthews also brings a PPG average of 9.4 into the game.

Josh Hubbard (G) 15.1 2.2 1.4
Cameron Matthews (F) 9.4 6.1 2.8
Jimmy Bell Jr. (F) 8.2 7.9 0.9

Kentucky Offense Breakdown

Coming off a good offensive performance, Kentucky’s offense scored 90 points against Missouri. Their field goal percentage for the game was 50%, and they went 27/32 from the free-throw line. In terms of offense, the Wildcats have a season-long field goal percentage of 49%, putting them 36th in the NCAA. Regarding three-pointers, they are ranked 37th in percentage and 13th in three-pointers made.

Antonio Reeves (G) 18.9 4.4 1.4
Rob Dillingham (G) 14.4 3.3 4.1
Tre Mitchell (F) 12.9 8.1 3.4

Mississippi State Team Defense

Mississippi State’s defense has been playing well, ranking 41st nationally, with 64.8 points allowed per game. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, Mississippi State’s defense has allowed opponents to shoot 39.6% from the field, including a three-point shooting percentage allowed of 27.5% this season.

Kentucky Team Defense

At this time, the Wildcats’ defense is positioned 243rd in the country, permitting 76.0 points per game. So far, the Kentucky defense is giving up an average of 9.5 offensive rebounds per game and are turning teams over 9.4 times per game (371st).

Bulldogs vs Wildcats Trends

  • Across the Bulldogs last ten road games, the team averaged 69 points per game while allowing 67. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 5-5, while going 5-5 straight-up.
  • Through their last ten home games, Kentucky has an ATS record of just 7-3. However, their overall record was 7-3 while averaging 80 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Mississippi State was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 3-7 straight up.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Wildcats have gone 6-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 9-1.

Bulldogs vs Wildcats Prediction

For today’s matchup we are recommending to take the Wildcats to secure the win, with an expected final score of 77-69. When it comes to the spread, we believe they’ll cover at -5.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 156 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.