Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Oklahoma Sooners NCAAB Betting Prediction

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Oklahoma Prediction 2/22/2025

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (19-7) travel to face off against the Oklahoma Sooners (16-10) on Saturday, February 22nd. This game will be played at Lloyd Noble Center in Norman and televised on SECN. Mississippi State is coming off a win in their previous game, while Oklahoma is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Florida. Tip-off is set for 1:00 ET.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Oklahoma Sooners

The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State improved to 19-7 on the season with a 70-54 win over Texas A&M on Tuesday. The Bulldogs, who were -2.5 favorites, covered the spread at home. The game’s total points of 124 fell well below the O/U line of 144.5.

After trailing 31-30 at halftime, Mississippi State’s defense stepped up, allowing just 23 points in the second half while scoring 40 of their own.

The Sooners Are Coming Off A Win

Oklahoma Sooners Recent Game/Games

The Sooners fell to 16-10 on the season after an 85-63 road loss to Florida on Tuesday, February 18th. Oklahoma entered the game as +14.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game ended at 148, which was under the O/U line of 155.5.

Oklahoma struggled early, trailing 46-24 at halftime. In the 2nd half, they scored 39 points but allowed the same amount, preventing any comeback attempt.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State put up 70 points in their last game, shooting 43.1% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 51%. They hit 36% from beyond the arc, connecting on 9 of 25 attempts, and were strong from the free-throw line, making 17 of 20 for 85%.

Josh Hubbard led the way with 25 points, shooting 60% overall and 50% from three. Claudell Harris Jr. added 15 points, also hitting 50% from deep, while Wade Taylor IV contributed 11 points despite shooting just 28.6% from the field.

Sooners Offense Breakdown

Oklahoma struggled offensively in their last game, shooting just 38.8% from the field and 41.4% on two-point attempts. They hit 35% from beyond the arc, going 7-for-20, and finished with an effective field goal percentage of 44.9%. At the free-throw line, the Sooners connected on 66.7%, making 18 of 27 attempts.

Jeremiah Fears led the way with 22 points, hitting 4 of 8 from three-point range, while Walter Clayton Jr. added 18 points, shooting 66.7% overall and 57.1% from deep. Oklahoma managed just 8 assists as a team, with only 7 offensive rebounds in the game.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Despite Mississippi State’s defensive efforts, they allowed 54 points on 43% shooting from the field. The Bulldogs gave up 13 two-point baskets on 26 attempts, a 50% conversion rate.

From beyond the arc, Mississippi State’s opponents hit 9 threes on 25 attempts, shooting 36%. The Bulldogs also sent them to the line 20 times, where they made 17 free throws, shooting 85%. Mississippi State limited their opponents to 5 offensive rebounds.

Sooners Team Defense

Mississippi State Bulldogs held their opponents to just 54 points, despite allowing them to shoot 43% from the field. The Bulldogs gave up 22 field goals on 51 attempts.

From beyond the arc, their opponents hit 9 of 25 threes, shooting 36%. Mississippi State also sent them to the line 20 times, where they made 17 free throws, shooting 85%.

Bulldogs vs Sooners Trends

  • Although Mississippi State has a straight up record of 3-2 in their last five road games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 2-3. The team averaged 68 points per game in these games.
  • Across their five previous home games, Oklahoma has an ATS mark of 2-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-4 while averaging 64 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Sooners have a straight up record of 0-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 0-3.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the favorite, Mississippi State has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 6-4 straight up.

Bulldogs vs Sooners Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +3.5, we recommend going with the Sooners on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 149.5 and given that our model is projecting 146 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.