Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt NCAAB Betting Commodores

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Prediction 1/7/2025

The Mississippi State Bulldogs (13-1) travel to face off against the Vanderbilt Commodores (13-1) on Tuesday, January 7th. This game will be played at Memorial Gymnasium (TN) in Nashville and televised on ESPNU. Both team’s come into this one having won their previous games. Tip-off is set for 9:00 ET.

Mississippi State Bulldogs vs Vanderbilt Commodores

The Bulldogs Are Coming Off A Win

Mississippi State Bulldogs Recent Game/Games

The Bulldogs improved to 13-1 on the season with an 85-50 win over South Carolina on Saturday, January 4th. Mississippi State, playing at home, entered the game as -10.5 favorites and covered the spread. The total points for the game were 135, falling under the O/U line of 143.5.

Mississippi State jumped out to a 43-18 lead at halftime and continued their strong play in the second half, scoring 42 points while allowing 32.

The Commodores Are Coming Off A Win

Vanderbilt improved to 13-1 on the season with an 80-72 win over LSU on Saturday. The Commodores entered the game as -1.5 favorites and covered the spread with the victory. The total points for the game came in under the O/U line of 159.5, with 152 points scored.

Vanderbilt led 34-27 at halftime and scored 46 points in the 2nd half while allowing 45 points to LSU. The win keeps Vanderbilt’s strong season going as they continue to build momentum.

Bulldogs Offense Breakdown

Mississippi State put up 85 points in their last game, shooting 56.5% from the field. Their effective field goal percentage was 62.9%, thanks to 73% shooting on two-pointers (27/37), while they hit 32% from beyond the arc (8/25).

Josh Hubbard connected on 5 of 10 threes, finishing with 21 points, while Claudell Harris Jr. added 17 points and 9 rebounds, hitting 3 of 6 from deep. The Bulldogs also dished out 18 assists in the win.

Commodores Offense Breakdown

Vanderbilt put up 80 points in their last game, shooting 43.8% from the field with an effective field goal percentage of 50%. They hit 8 of 26 from beyond the arc, connecting at 30.8%, and were 52.6% on two-point attempts. At the free-throw line, they made 16 of 24, good for 66.7%.

Cam Carter led the way with 22 points, hitting 4 of 11 from deep. Jordan Sears and AJ Hoggard each added 17 points, with Hoggard dishing out 4 assists. Jaylen Carey and MJ Collins Jr. both contributed 14 points, with Collins shooting 83.3% from the field. Vanderbilt grabbed 17 offensive rebounds and finished with 11 assists as a team.

Bulldogs Team Defense

Despite Mississippi State’s defensive struggles, allowing 50 points on 56% shooting, they managed to hold their opponent to just 8 made threes on 25 attempts, a 32% clip. The Bulldogs also sent their opponent to the line only 9 times, where they hit 7 free throws.

Mississippi State gave up 8 offensive rebounds in this game. Their opponent was particularly effective inside, converting 73% of their two-point attempts, going 27/37 from inside the arc.

Commodores Team Defense

Mississippi State’s defense struggled in their last game, giving up 50 points while allowing the opposition to shoot 56% from the field. The Bulldogs had a tough time defending inside, where they allowed 27 two-point baskets on 37 attempts, a 73% shooting rate.

From beyond the arc, Mississippi State’s defense gave up 8 threes on 25 attempts, with the other team shooting 32% from three-point range. They also sent the opposition to the free-throw line 9 times, where they converted 7 free throws at a 77% rate. The Bulldogs allowed 8 offensive rebounds in the game.

Bulldogs vs Commodores Trends

  • The Bulldogs are 4-1 ATS in their last road games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • The Commodores are 5-0 ATS in their last home games and 4-1 straight-up.
  • Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Commodores have gone 4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 2-3.
  • Mississippi State has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-0 SU and 3-0 ATS in their last three games.

Bulldogs vs Commodores Prediction

As the underdogs with a spread of +1.5, we recommend going with the Commodores on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 154.5 and given that our model is projecting 147 points between the teams, we like the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.