Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators NCAAB Betting Prediction

Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators Prediction 2/28/2024

The Missouri Tigers (8-19) travel to face off against the Florida Gators (19-8) on Wednesday, February 28th. This game will be played at Exactech Arena in Gainesville and televised on SECN. Florida is coming off a win in their previous game, while Missouri is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Arkansas. Tip-off is set for 6:30 ET.

Missouri Tigers vs Florida Gators

The Missouri Tigers Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Missouri comes into this game with a record of 8-19, and they have lost 14 games in a row. Over their last 10 games, the Tigers have gone 2-8 on the road.

On the season, Missouri has been the underdog 13 times, and they have gone 1-12 in those games. As the underdog, they have an average scoring differential of -7.0 points per game.

As the underdog, Missouri has gone 5-8 vs. the spread this season and just 3-7 in their last 10 games as the underdog. On the road, the Tigers are 5-5 vs. the spread this season and have gone 1-2 vs. the spread in their last 3 road games.

This season, the average over/under line in Missouri games is 148 points and today’s line of 154.5 is higher than that. So far, 21 of their games have finished with less points than today’s line. Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 151 points and their over/under record during that stretch is 2-1.

The Florida Gators Are Coming Off A Win

Florida comes into this game with a 19-8 record, including a 14-1 mark at home. The Gators have won four straight games, and they are 17-4 when favored this season.

In their last game, Florida defeated Vanderbilt, 77-64. Over their last 10 home games, the Gators are 9-1.

Florida has a 12-14 ATS record this season and they are 6-9 vs. the spread at home. Over their last 10 games as the favorite, the Gators are 5-5 vs. the spread.

Florida’s over/under record this season is 14-11-1, and today’s line of 154.5 is lower than the average over/under line in their games (155.6). Over their last three games, the average scoring total is 167 points, which is higher than today’s line.

Missouri Offense Breakdown

The Missouri offense is coming off a game where they scored 73 points against Arkansas. They posted a field goal percentage of 39.2% and connected on 5 threes. Sean East is currently the leading scorer for the team, entering today’s matchup with an average of 17. Meanwhile, Tamar Bates also brings a PPG average of 13.6 into the game.

Name PPG REB AST
Sean East (G) 17.0 3.4 4.1
Tamar Bates (G) 13.6 2.8 1.3
Noah Carter (F) 11.7 5.1 1.5

Florida Offense Breakdown

Coming off their recent game, the Florida offense tallied 77 points in a matchup against Vanderbilt. Their field goal percentage for the game was 46.7%, and they made 9 threes. The top scorer for the Gators was Will Richard with 21 points, while Walter Clayton Jr. also chipped in with 19 points.

Name PPG REB AST
Walter Clayton Jr. (G) 16.9 3.8 2.7
Zyon Pullin (G) 15.0 4.0 4.8
Tyrese Samuel (F) 13.0 7.7 1.7

Missouri Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Missouri defense is giving up an average of 74.9 points per contest. On average, opposing teams are hitting 7.6 threes per game vs. Florida. This has come on three-point shooting percentage of 34.6%.

Florida Team Defense

Coming into today’s game, the Florida defense is giving up an average of 77.1 points per contest. The Florida defense is coming off a game in which they gave up a total of 64 points and allowed Vanderbilt to connect on 9 threes.

Tigers vs Gators Trends

  • Across their ten previous road games, Missouri has an ATS mark of 5-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-8 while averaging 68 points per game.
  • In their last three home games, Florida has averaged 82 points per game while allowing 82. The team’s record in this stretch was 1-2 while going 3-0.
  • Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Missouri has an ATS mark of 3-7 while going 0-10 straight up.
  • Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Gators have a good straight up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.

Tigers vs Gators Prediction

In this Gators vs. Gators matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Gators at -13.5. While we project the Gators to win 75-70, our recommendation is to bet on the Tigers for the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 154.5, and our model predicts the Tigers and Gators to score a combined 145 points. We recommend betting on the under.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.