Cotton Bowl Prediction

Missouri vs Ohio State Cotton Bowl Prediction 12/29/2023

The Missouri Tigers (10-2) face off against the Ohio State Buckeyes (11-1) on Friday, December 29th. This game will be played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington and televised on ESPN. Missouri is coming off a win in their previous game, while Ohio State is looking to get back on track from a loss to the Michigan. Kickoff is set for 8:00 ET.

Missouri Tigers vs Ohio State Buckeyes

The Missouri Tigers Are Coming Off A Win

The Tigers are looking to ride the momentum of their convincing 48-14 win over Arkansas. Quarterback Brady Cook finished with 112 passing yards in the team’s most recent win over Arkansas. Not only did he throw for two touchdowns but he ran for one scores.

When looking at how their game played out from a betting perspective, their combined 62 points resulting in the over hitting. The over/under line going into the game was 54.5. Missouri also covered the spread as 9.5-point favorites.

Additionally, with a 10-2 record, the Missouri Tigers take on Ohio State. Their road record so far is (4-1) and at home (5-1).

Overall, Missouri’s average scoring differential for the season is +11.8 leading to an ATS mark of 8-3. The Tigers have been favored six times and the underdog in five games So far this season, the average over/under line for Missouri’s games has been 54.4 points. The Tigers have an over/under record of 7-4 heading into this week’s game.

The Ohio State Buckeyes Look To Bounce Back From A Loss

Ohio State is coming off a 30-24 loss to Michigan and were unable to pull out a win in the 4th quarter as Michigan outscored Ohio State by one in the final period. In the loss vs. Michigan, quarterback Kyle McCord concluded with a QB rating of 84.17, connecting on 18 of 30 passes for 271 yards. He also added two touchdowns to his performance.

Not only did Ohio State lose straight-up in this matchup, but they also lost vs. the spread as 3-point underdogs. Combining for 54 points, the teams exceeded the line of 46 points.

With a 11-1 record, the Ohio State Buckeyes take on Missouri. Their road record so far is (5-1) and at home (5-0).

Against the spread, Ohio State has gone 6-3-2 this season. The Buckeyes have been favored 10 times compared to one game as the underdog. In 12 games played, the average over/under line for Ohio State’s games has been set at 52 points. These contests have seen an average combined score of 43.8 points, resulting in an OU record of 3-8.

Missouri Offense Breakdown

Missouri’s offense is averaging 34.1 points per game, which ranks them 27th in the NCAA. Through the air, they’re at 273.5 passing yards on average, putting them at 32nd in the nation. Their rushing attack is currently 59th in rushing yards, with an average of 436 rushing attempts per game this season.

Overall, this season, Brady Cook has been responsible for 3189 passing yards, maintaining an average of 13.7 per completion. He has a completion rate of 66.6%, having thrown 20 touchdowns.

Ohio State Offense Breakdown

On offense, the Buckeyes come in with the 52nd ranked offense in terms of passing attempts and are averaging 282.7 passing yards per game. In the running game, they are 72nd in terms of attempts.

Meanwhile, Kyle McCord is the team’s leading passer, with 3170 passing yards under his belt and a completion rate of 65.8%. Currently, he’s averaging 9.1 yards per pass attempt.

Missouri Team Defense

Coming into their matchup vs. Ohio State, the Missouri defense is 81st in points allowed, giving up 22.3 points per game. So far, opponents have averaged 222.4 passing yards per game against them (88th in the country). Against the run, they’re allowing 124.8 rushing yards, which ranks them 46th in college football.

Ohio State Team Defense

On defense, Ohio State comes into the game ranked 198th in passing yards per game. Opponents are throwing the ball an average of 29.8 times per contest vs. the Buckeyes. Overall, they are giving up 11 points per game, which is 49th in college football. Against the run, they are 31st in the NCAA in rushing yards allowed.

Missouri vs Ohio State Trends

  • Missouri is 3-0 ATS in their last road games.
  • At home, Ohio State has gone 1-2-2 against the spread (last five).
  • Looking back at the last ten times Ohio State went into a game as the underdog, their ATS mark was 3-3.
  • Missouri are 4-1 in their last five games as favorites.

Missouri vs Ohio State Prediction

All in all, Ohio State’s offense has been struggling on third down this season. In the end, I’m not betting on a sudden improvement, and my choice is for Missouri +2.5.

After crunching the numbers, our model is pointing to this game finishing with a combined 51 points. Therefore, this projection has me feeling good about taking the over at 49.5.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.