Los Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Angeles Dodgers vs San Diego Padres Prediction 5/12/2024

The Los Angeles Dodgers (27-14) travel to face off against the San Diego Padres (21-21) on Sunday, May 12th. This game will be played at PETCO Park in San Diego and televised on SNLA. The Dodgers are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Padres are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Dodgers. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Dodgers vs Padres

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It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Dodgers took down the Padres by a score of 5-0. The Dodgers offense only had two more hits than the Padres and struck out 10 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were favored at -148 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between James Paxton for the Dodgers and Matt Waldron for the Padres. Paxton went six innings and didn’t give up a run, picking up a win in the game. Waldron only went 5 1/3 innings and gave up two earned runs, taking the loss.

Freddie Freeman and Teoscar Hernandez each homered for the Dodgers, while Fernando Tatis Jr. went 2/4 for the Padres. Tatis Jr. was the only Padres hitter to have more than one hit.

Los Angeles is 27-14 overall this season and leads the NL West by 6.5 games over the Padres. The Dodgers will be on the road for today’s game vs. the Padres. So far, they have gone 8-5 in divisional games.

The Dodgers have won five straight series, and their overall series record is 8-5. This season, the Dodgers have been really good as the favorite, going 26-13, and they are 12-5 as the favorite on the road. Los Angeles has an overall record of 12-6 on the road compared to 15-8 at home. The Dodgers have been really good in night games this season, going 18-7.

When the Dodgers win, they tend to do so by a wide margin, as their average run differential in victories is 4.1. Their overall run line record is 22-19, and they have been particularly strong against the run line on the road, going 11-7. Their average run differential on the road is 2.2, and they have covered the run line in 21 of 39 games as the favorite.

When the Los Angeles Dodgers take the field against the San Diego Padres, the over/under line for the game is set at 8.5 runs. The Dodgers have played 31 games this season, and 13 of them have gone over that line. Over their last three games, the Dodgers have gone under the line each time. Their games have averaged 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 22-19.

Walker Buehler Gets The Start For The Dodgers

Walker Buehler is on the mound for the Dodgers today, as they take on the Padres. Buehler is making his 2nd start of the season and is coming off a no-decision in his first outing, where he went 4 innings and gave up 3 earned runs on 6 hits.

Dodgers Offense Breakdown

Freddie Freeman has been on a tear for the Dodgers of late, going 7/16 in his last five games with two homers and three RBIs. This has pushed his season average to .297. Teoscar Hernandez has also been swinging a hot bat, going 5/16 in his last five games with three homers and eight RBIs. For the season, Hernandez is batting .258.

Shohei Ohtani and Teoscar Hernandez have been a dynamic duo in the Dodgers lineup, with Ohtani batting .352 with 11 homers and Hernandez also having 11 homers while driving in 33 runs, which is 2nd in the league. As a team, the Dodgers lead the league in runs per game (5.4), batting average (.264), and on-base percentage (.349).

San Diego is at an even 21-21 overall and trails the Dodgers by 6.5 games in the NL West. So far, they have gone 11-10 in divisional matchups. The Padres are looking to take the series lead over the Dodgers today, and they are 7-3 over their last 10 games overall.

At home, the Padres are 9-13 this year and 12-8 on the road. As the favorite, San Diego has gone 13-11 and 8-10 as the underdog. The Padres have an overall series record of 7-4-2 and have won three straight series.

When betting the run line, the Padres have been a much better bet on the road than at home, as they are 16-4 on the run line away from Petco Park. Their overall run line record is 23-19, and they have a run differential of +0.3 runs per game. They have been a better bet as the underdog, going 12-6 on the run line in those games.

The Padres’ over/under record is 21-20 this season, and their games have averaged 9.2 runs per game. Their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs, but when the line is set at 8.5 runs, the over has hit in 8 of 12 games. The over has hit in 7 of their 10 games with a higher over/under line than today’s 8.5 runs, and their games have gone under the total in 23 of 42 games this season.

Yu Darvish Gets The Start For The Padres

Yu Darvish will be looking to build off his last outing, where he didn’t give up a run and picked up the win. In that May 6th outing vs. the Cubs, he went five innings and gave up just three hits. Darvish has made one quality start this year and has a record of 2-1 with a 2.94 ERA. So far, he has a BB/9 figure of 2.94 and a K/9 figure of 8.02. For the season, he has allowed two homers. Looking back, Darvish has made seven starts and has allowed at least two earned runs in four of them. His ERA at home is 3.53.

Padres Offense Breakdown

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Over his last eight games, Fernando Tatis Jr. has gone 12/35 at the plate, including one home run and four RBIs. For the season, he is hitting .256 and is tied with Jake Cronenworth and Jurickson Profar for the team lead in home runs. Profar also comes into the game with a team-high 27 RBIs and is 7th in the league in batting average (.321).

Profar and Cronenworth have been swinging the bat well of late, with Profar going 7/29 in his last eight games, and Cronenworth has gone 11/30 in his last seven games. Luis Campusano has also been hot, going 7/20 in his last six games. The Padres come into the game averaging 4.8 runs per game and have been even better on the road, averaging 5.4 runs per contest.

Dodgers vs Padres Prediction

We see the Padres taking this one at home with a final score of 6-5. With the money line sitting at +109, this is the best way to play this one. Looking at the starting pitchers, Yu Darvish is projected to finish with six strikeouts, and he has the fourth-best hits allowed projection among starters.

As for Walker Buehler, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, and his Dodgers are projected to pick up the ninth most strikeouts as a team today. If you’re looking for a prediction on the Dodgers’ final line, we have them finishing with 12th most runs today.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.