Los Angeles Angels vs Houston Astros MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Angels vs Houston Astros Prediction 5/21/2024

The Los Angeles Angels (19-29) travel to face off against the Houston Astros (21-27) on Tuesday, May 21st. This game will be played at Minute Maid Park in Houston and televised on BSW. The Angels are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Astros are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Angels. First pitch is set for 8:10 ET.

Angels vs Astros

los angeles angels nba

It was all Los Angeles in the last game of this series, as the Angels took down the Astros by a score of 9-7. The Angels offense only had four more hits than the Astros and struck out 12 times, but still picked up a win. Heading into the game, they were at +183 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Reid Detmers for the Angels and Framber Valdez for the Astros. Detmers only went four innings and gave up six runs but didn’t factor in the decision. Jose Suarez got the win out of the bullpen, and Carlos Estevez got the save.

At the plate, Nolan Schanuel and Logan O’Hoppe each homered for the Angels. Schanuel, Jo Adell, Taylor Ward, and Kevin Pillar each had two hits and two RBIs.

Los Angeles is 19-29 overall this season, and they are 7th in the AL West. The Angels are seven games behind the Mariners for the division lead. So far, they have gone 3-1 in divisional games, and they will look to pick up another win vs. the Astros today.

The Angels have won two straight games, and they are 5-5 across their last 10. This year, the Angels have really struggled at home, going just 6-16. However, they have been much better on the road, posting a record of 13-13. As the underdog, the Angels are 18-25 this year and 1-4 when favored.

The Angels have been a profitable team to bet on the run line this season, as they are 26-22 overall. They have been especially good on the road, going 17-9 against the run line. They have covered the run line in six straight games and in 26 of 43 games as the underdog.

The Angels have played 13 games this season with an over/under line higher than 8.5 runs, and the over has hit in 12 of those contests. Their games have averaged 9.4 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 27-20.

Griffin Canning Gets The Start For The Angels

Griffin Canning is looking to build off his last outing, where he picked up the win and gave up just one earned run in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the Cardinals, he only allowed five hits and issued three walks. Looking at his overall numbers, Canning has made nine starts and has a record of 2-4. His ERA for the season is 5.21, along with a WHIP of 1.35. Opponents have a batting average of .251 vs. Canning this year. So far, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 6.56 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, Canning has allowed seven homers and is averaging 3.47 walks per nine innings.

Angels Offense Breakdown

Over the past nine games, Jo Adell has struggled at the plate, going 7/32 (.219) with four home runs. However, his eight RBIs over that stretch are impressive. Adell is 2nd on the Angels in RBIs this season, with 22, and his nine homers is 8th best in the league. Taylor Ward and Mike Trout are tied for the team lead with 10 homers apiece, with Ward leading the team with 29 RBIs.

As a team, the Angels are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. They are also 6th in home runs and 8th in batting average. So far, they have been a good road team, averaging 4.5 runs per game.

The Astros are 21-27 overall and trail the Mariners by five games in the AL West. So far, they have gone 9-6 in divisional games. Houston will host the Angels today, and they are 13-14 at home this year.

Houston has won three straight series, and their overall series record is 7-7-1 this year. As the favorite, the Astros are 16-21 and 5-6 as the underdog. Looking at their most recent games, the Astros are 7-3 over their last ten games.

When the Astros win, they do so by an average of 4.5 runs per game. In losses, they lose by an average of 3.8 runs per game. Their overall run line record is 20-28, with a -0.2 run differential per game. They are 12-15 against the run line at home, with an average scoring margin of +0.9 runs per game. On the road, they are 8-13 against the run line, with an average scoring margin of -1.6 runs per game. As the favorite, they are 14-23 against the run line, while as the underdog, they are 6-5.

The Houston Astros have played 45 games this season, and 27 of them have had over/under lines set higher than 8.5 runs. The over/under line for today’s game against the Los Angeles Angels is set at 8.5 runs, and the Astros have gone 4-8 in games with that line. Their games have averaged 9.5 runs per game, and their over/under record for the season is 19-26. The over has hit in two straight games for the Astros, with the combined runs in those games totaling 16 and 13 runs, respectively.

Cristian Javier Gets The Start For The Astros

So far this season, Cristian Javier has made six starts and has a record of 3-1. His ERA for the season is 3.23, along with a WHIP of 1.24. Javier has made three quality starts this year, and his ERA at home is 0.64 compared to 25.31 on the road. In his last outing, Javier didn’t give up a run and got the win, going six innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander has been much better at home this year, as he has yet to give up a homer there.

Astros Offense Breakdown

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Heading into today’s game, the Astros are the league’s top-hitting team, with a batting average of .265. They also have the fewest strikeouts in the league and are near the top of the league in both on-base percentage and slugging. Overall, they are 5th in the league in home runs and are averaging 4.6 runs per game.

Kyle Tucker has been a big part of the Astros’ offense this season, as he is 2nd in the league with 15 homers and is also 7th in the league with 34 RBIs. Tucker has also been hot of late, going 11/29 in his last nine games, with three homers and eight RBIs. Alex Bregman has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/38 in his last 10 games.

Angels vs Astros Prediction

Our predicted final score for this Angels and Astros matchup is 6-5 in favor of the Astros. However, with the Astros being at -212 on the money line, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs, as there is some good value there with the payout sitting at -111.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cristian Javier finishing with seven strikeouts, which is good for fourth best among starters. As for Griffin Canning, we have him ending the game with five K’s, which is 18th among starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.