Oakland Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Athletics vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction 4/20/2024

The Oakland Athletics (8-12) travel to face off against the Cleveland Guardians (14-6) on Saturday, April 20th. This game will be played at Progressive Field in Cleveland and televised on NSPCA. The Guardians are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Athletics are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Athletics. First pitch is set for 6:10 ET.

Athletics vs Guardians

oakland athletics nba

Cleveland cruised to a 10-2 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Guardians had a huge 5th inning, scoring five of their ten runs. As for the Athletics, they scored their only two runs in the 9th. Heading into the game, the Guardians were favored at -165 on the money line.

Triston McKenzie pitched well for the Guardians in this one, going five innings and giving up just one run. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued three walks. On the other side, Joe Boyle got the start for the Athletics, giving up seven earned runs in six innings of work.

Cleveland’s offense was led by Tyler Freeman, who went 2/4 with a home run and two RBIs. Josh Naylor and Estevan Florial each drove in two for the Guardians’ offense.

The Athletics are on the road today vs. the Guardians, and Oakland is looking to move above .500, as they are currently 8-12. In the AL West, they are 2.5 games behind the Rangers and in 4th place. So far, they have been good in series, going 3-3.

At home, the A’s have gone 4-9, and they are just above .500 on the road at 4-3. Oakland picked up their most recent win in their final game of the series vs. the Cardinals. This came after dropping three straight.

When the Athletics win, they win big, with an average run margin of 2.2 runs. However, in their losses, they lose by an average of 4.0 runs. They are 10-10 against the run line this season, with a 5-8 record at home and a 5-2 record on the road. As the underdog, they are 10-8 against the run line, while as the favorite, they are 0-2.

The Oakland Athletics have played 19 games this season, and their over/under record is 9-10. The average over/under line in their games is 8, and when the line has been set at 8, their record is 4-3-1. Their combined run average in those games is 7.3 runs. In their last 10 games, the over has hit in 6 of them. The over has hit in 7 of their 10 road games this season.

Alex Wood Gets The Start For The Athletics

Alex Wood will be starting for the Athletics against the Guardians today. This will be his 4th start of the season, and so far, he has a loss and two no-decisions. In his first start of the season, he took the loss against Cleveland, giving up 6 runs in 3 1/3 innings. He has 16 strikeouts in 13 1/3 innings pitched so far this season.

Athletics Offense Breakdown

Looking at our player props for the Athletics, Esteury Ruiz has the highest hits projection on the team and his total is the 27th best in the league today. Shea Langeliers has the best odds to hit a home run for the A’s, with his home run projection being the 5th best in today’s slate of games. Zack Gelof has the 2nd best odds to hit a home run on the team and the 9th best odds in today’s games.

Cleveland comes into today’s game, having picked up two straight wins and leads the AL Central by one game over the Royals. So far, the Guardians have gone 14-6 and have yet to play a game vs. their own division. At home, they are 4-3 this season and have been great on the road at 10-3.

Looking at their overall series record, Cleveland is 5-1, and they have won four straight series on the road. As the favorite, they are 7-4 this season and 7-2 as the underdog.

When the Guardians win, they do so by an average of 4.1 runs per game. They have covered the run line in 13 of their 20 games this season, including four of seven at home. As an underdog, they are 8-1 against the run line. Their current run line win streak is at two games, and they are 1-0 against the run line as the favorite.

Today’s over/under line for the Cleveland Guardians’ game against the Oakland Athletics is set at 8 runs. The Guardians have had a combined run average of 9.0 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 12-7. When the over/under line has been set at 8 runs, their record is 4-2. Overall, 40% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 8 runs. The over has hit in their last two games.

Logan Allen Gets The Start For The Guardians

Logan Allen and the Guardians are back home for his 3rd start of the season. Allen has a win in each of his first two starts, but has yet to go more than 6 2/3 innings in a game. He is coming off a start against the Yankees where he went 5 2/3 innings and gave up 4 earned runs.

Guardians Offense Breakdown

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Looking at the player props, José Ramírez has the 2nd highest total hits projection on the Guardians and the 18th highest in the league today. His home run projection is 2nd on the team and 10th in the league. David Fry has the highest home run projection for the Guardians, which is 8th in the league. Steven Kwan is projected to have the most hits for the Guardians and his total hits projection is 10th in the league today.

 

Athletics vs Guardians Prediction

 

Our prediction for this Athletics vs. Guardians matchup is to take the Guardians to pick up the win at home. However, with the money line payout being -164, we actually recommend taking the over, as we have this one finishing with a score of 5-4 in favor of the Guardians.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Alex Wood finishing with six strikeouts, and for Logan Allen, we have him finishing with five. However, our projections have Allen finishing with a better ERA than Wood, and we actually have Allen finishing with fewer hits allowed than Wood.

Offensively, we have the Guardians finishing with nine hits compared to the Athletics with eight. However, the Guardians are actually projected to finish with the second-fewest home runs on the day, as the Athletics are projected to finish with the fourth-fewest.

One last thing, if you’re looking for a payout, we would recommend taking the over at 8, as the payout is currently at -112.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.