Oakland Athletics vs Seattle Mariners MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Athletics vs Seattle Mariners Prediction 5/11/2024

The Oakland Athletics (18-22) travel to face off against the Seattle Mariners (21-18) on Saturday, May 11th. This game will be played at T-Mobile Park in Seattle and televised on RSNW. The Mariners are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Athletics are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Mariners. First pitch is set for 9:40 ET.

Athletics vs Mariners

oakland athletics nba

Seattle cruised to an easy 8-1 win over the Athletics in the most recent game of this series. The Mariners had a huge 4th inning, scoring five of their eight runs. As for the Athletics, they scored their only run in the 9th inning.

Bryan Woo only went 4 1/3 innings for the Mariners but didn’t give up a run and finished with three strikeouts. He picked up a win in the game, while Paul Blackburn had a rough outing for the Athletics, taking the loss.

Dylan Moore hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with five RBIs and two runs scored. Ty France also had a two-hit game for Seattle, driving in two runs.

With an overall record of 18-22, the Athletics are 4.0 games behind the Rangers for the AL West lead. So far, they have gone just 3-5 in divisional matchups. The Athletics have dropped two straight games, and they lost the series opener vs. the Mariners.

At home, the Athletics are 10-13 this year compared to an 8-9 mark on the road. As the underdog, Oakland is 14-21 this year, and they are just 4-1 as the favorite. Looking at their overall record, the Athletics are 6-5-1 in series this year. Over their last ten games, they are 5-5.

When betting on the A’s run line this season, it’s been more profitable to take them as the underdog, as they are 20-15 in that spot compared to 2-3 as the favorite. Their overall run line record is 22-18, with an average run margin of -0.9 runs per game. They are 10-7 against the run line on the road, where their scoring margin is -1.2 runs per game. In their wins, they are averaging a run margin of +3.2 runs per game, while in their losses, they are at -4.2 runs per game.

The Oakland Athletics have hit the over in four straight games, and their games have averaged a combined 8.6 runs per game this season. Their over/under record is 19-20 on the season, and their games have had an average over/under line of 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 5-9. So far this season, 57.5% of their games have had over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs.

Joey Estes Gets The Start For The Athletics

Joey Estes is coming off a season in which he made two starts and finished with an ERA of 7.20. His record was 0-1, and he allowed four home runs. Estes’ WHIP last season was 1.40, and his FIP was 8.55. He averaged 6.3 strikeouts per nine innings and finished with a strikeout-to-walk ratio of 3.5.

Athletics Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Athletics have been one of the league’s top power-hitting teams, as they are 4th in the league in home runs. However, they are batting just .221 as a team, which is 22nd in the league. As a team, they are averaging just 3.9 runs per game (22nd). Oakland has been even worse on the road, averaging only 3 runs per contest.

One of the Athletics’ top power threats is Brent Rooker, who is 4th in the league with 9 homers. He is also 10th in the league with 24 RBIs. Rooker has also put together a four-game hitting streak. Catcher Shea Langeliers has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 6/16 in his last four games with two homers.

Seattle is 21-18 overall and trails the Rangers by just a half-game for the AL West lead. The Mariners are 5-2 in divisional games this year and are winning their current series vs. the Athletics. So far, they are 6-5-1 in series this year.

At home, the Mariners have gone 12-8 compared to 9-10 on the road. As the favorite, Seattle is 12-9 this year and 9-9 as the underdog. Looking at their overall record, the Mariners are 5-5 over their last 10 games.

The Mariners have been a solid run line bet overall this season, going 19-20. They have been a .500 team against the run line at home, going 10-10. They have been a .500 team against the run line on the road, going 9-10. They have been a better bet against the run line as an underdog, going 10-8.

Seattle’s over/under record for the season is 12-25, and the over has hit in four straight games. The average over/under line in their games is 8 runs, but today’s line is set at 7.5 runs. In games with an over/under line of 7.5 runs, the over is 5-8. The Mariners’ games have averaged 7.3 runs per game this season.

Bryce Miller Gets The Start For The Mariners

Right-hander Bryce Miller gets the start for the Mariners today as he faces off against the Athletics at home. He has made seven starts this year and has a record of 3-2 with a 2.61 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting just .169 this season off Miller. In his last outing, he finished with a no-decision, giving up four earned runs in six innings of work. Before that, he had turned in three straight quality starts. Miller’s WHIP for the season is currently 0.92.

Mariners Offense Breakdown

seattle mariners

Cal Raleigh has been the Mariners’ most consistent power threat this season, as his nine home runs are 4th best in the league and the top mark on the team. However, he is coming off a stretch in which he has gone just 5/30 in his last nine games. Mitch Haniger and Jorge Polanco are tied for 2nd on the team with five homers, but both are batting below .215 for the season.

Seattle’s offense is averaging just 3.8 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.4 runs per contest. Overall, the Mariners are the league’s worst team in terms of striking out and have the league’s 20th ranked batting average.

Athletics vs Mariners Prediction

Our prediction for this game is that the Mariners will pick up a 6-5 win over the Athletics. However, with the money line payout for the Mariners being -237, we recommend taking the over, as there is a lot of value with the over/under line sitting at 7.5 runs.

If you’re looking for a starting pitcher, we actually have Bryce Miller finishing with the eighth-most strikeouts among starters today. However, we have him going just four innings, and with the payout for him to pick up a win being +194, we would look to the over/under market.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.