Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Baltimore Orioles vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction 5/5/2024

The Baltimore Orioles (22-11) travel to face off against the Cincinnati Reds (16-17) on Sunday, May 5th. This game will be played at Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Reds are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 4:10 ET.

Orioles vs Reds

baltimore orioles nba

Baltimore picked up a 2-1 road win over the Reds in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles offense got off to a fast start, scoring two runs in the first and picking up their final run in the 5th. As for the Reds, they got on the board with one run in the 9th.

John Means started for the Orioles and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. He finished the game with eight strikeouts but didn’t issue a walk. Yennier Cano got the save. Andrew Abbott only went five innings for the Reds, giving up two earned runs on seven hits.

Adley Rutschman and Jorge Mateo each had an RBI for the Orioles’ offense. Rutschman, Jonathan India, and Joey Votto were the only three Reds hitters to have more than one hit.

Baltimore is on a three-game winning streak and leads the AL East with an overall record of 22-11. The Orioles hold a one-game lead over the Yankees for the division lead. So far, they have been really good against other teams in the AL East, putting up a mark of 6-1. Their overall series record is 7-3, and they have won three straight series on the road.

At home, the Orioles have gone 12-7 this year, and they have been really good on the road at 10-4. As the underdog, Baltimore has gone 6-1 this season and 16-10 as the favorite. So far, they have been really good in day games, going 12-5.

The Orioles have been a solid bet on the run line this season, going 20-13. They are 11-8 on the run line at home and 9-5 on the run line on the road. Their average run margin for the season is +1.4 runs per game, and they have covered the run line in two straight games on the road. They are 14-12 on the run line as the favorite and 6-1 as the underdog.

The Orioles have had a combined run average of 8.9 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 16-14. When the over/under line is set at 9 runs, their record is 2-5-1. Overall, 69.7% of their games have had lower over/under lines than 9 runs, and their current under streak is at 2 games.

Dean Kremer Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through six starts, Dean Kremer has a record of 2-2 and an ERA of 4.19. He has made two quality starts this year and is coming off a game in which he didn’t allow a run. In that outing vs. the Yankees, Kremer went seven innings, giving up just two hits and picking up the win. Kremer’s ERA on the road is 2.71, compared to 7.04 at home. For the season, he has allowed a total of eight home runs. Kremer’s WHIP for the season is 1.08.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

Adley Rutschman has been on a nice run for the Orioles, going 7/20 in his last five games with a home run and three RBIs. For the season, he is batting .321 with five homers and 20 RBIs. Gunnar Henderson has been the Orioles’ best power threat so far, as his 10 homers are the most in the league. He is also 6th in the league in RBIs, with 24.

Overall, the Orioles are the top home run hitting team in the league and are averaging 5.1 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.2 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .249, which is 7th in the league.

Cincinnati is looking to get back to .500 today, as they come into the game with a record of 16-17. The Reds have dropped four straight games, and they are 4.5 games behind the Brewers for the NL Central lead. So far, they are 1-2 in divisional games this year.

The Reds have dropped two straight games as the underdog, and they are 6-11 as the underdog overall. At home, the Reds have lost three straight games as the underdog. Cincinnati is 10-6 when favored this year. So far, they are 9-9 at home and 7-8 on the road. The Reds’ overall series record is 4-5-1, and they have lost two straight series.

When betting the run line with the Reds, it’s been a toss-up this season. Their average run margin is just 0.4 runs per game, and they are 17-16 against the run line. They’ve been slightly better on the road, going 9-6, compared to 8-10 at home. They have failed to cover the run line in their last three home games and are 8-9 as an underdog.

The Reds have had a combined run average of 8.7 this season, and their over/under record is 17-15. Their over/under record when the line is set at 9 runs is 0-5-1. The Reds have had 10 games with over/under lines set higher than 9 runs, which accounts for 30.3% of their games. Their under streak is currently at 2 games.

Nick Lodolo Gets The Start For The Reds

Coming off of a dominant outing against the Padres, Nick Lodolo will be on the mound for the Reds in their matchup with the Orioles. Lodolo has been racking up the strikeouts, as he has 31 through his first 3 starts. He has yet to allow more than 1 earned run in a start this season.

Reds Offense Breakdown

cincinnati reds

Elly De La Cruz has been a consistent hitter for the Reds this season, batting .278 overall and has gone 6/30 in his last eight games. He is also 3rd in the league with eight home runs and has 19 RBIs, which is 11th in the MLB. Spencer Steer and Will Benson are tied for 2nd on the team with four homers, but Steer has gone just 6/29 in his last eight games, and Benson is hitting just .200 for the season.

As a team, the Reds are averaging 4.6 runs per game, which is 14th in the league. However, they are batting just .213 (20th) and have the 24th ranked on-base percentage in the league. Currently, they are 11th in walks and 11th in home runs.


Orioles vs Reds Prediction


Our prediction for today’s Orioles vs. Reds matchup is to take the Reds on the money line at -114. We have the Reds winning this one by a score of 6-5. With the over/under line sitting at 9 runs, there isn’t a lot of wiggle room, and we recommend sticking with the Reds to pick up the win.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Nick Lodolo finishing with seven strikeouts, which is the third-best among all starters today. As for Dean Kremer, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts, which is the fifth worst among today’s starters.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.