The Baltimore Orioles (60-41) travel to face off against the Miami Marlins (37-65) on Thursday, July 25th. This game will be played at loanDepot Park in Miami and televised on BSFL. The Marlins are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Marlins. First pitch is set for 11:10 CT.
Orioles vs. Marlins Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-268)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Orioles have scored 6 or more runs in 5 of their last 15 games.
- The Orioles have won 4 out of their last 6 away games.
- The Orioles have a better overall away record (30-19) compared to the Marlins’ home record (22-33).
- The Orioles have a higher league rank (2nd in AL East) compared to the Marlins (15th in NL East).
- The Orioles have won 3 out of their last 4 games against teams with a losing record.
Orioles vs Marlins
Miami picked up a 6-3 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Marlins offense got off to a fast start, scoring three runs in the first and adding three more in the 2nd. On the other side, the Orioles got on the board with three runs in the 4th and didn’t score another run the rest of the game.
Edward Cabrera only went 5 1/3 innings for the Marlins but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with six strikeouts but issued four walks. Andrew Nardi got the win out of the bullpen, and Tanner Scott got the save.
Chayce McDermott had a rough outing for the Orioles, going just four innings and giving up five hits and three earned runs. He finished the game with just two strikeouts and issued two walks. Jacob Webb took the loss.
After losing the first two games of this series, the Orioles are now 3-7 in their last 10 games. They have a 60-41 overall record and lead the AL East by 1.5 games over the Yankees. Baltimore’s average run margin in winning games is 3.8, and their games have averaged nine runs per game this season.
On the run line, the Orioles are 30-19 on the road and 55-46 overall. As underdogs, they have a 15-5 run line record. This season, their games with an O/U line of 8.5 have gone over 16 times in 29 games.
Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Marlins on the road. He has made 20 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with an ERA of 2.38. Burnes has been excellent this year, turning in 16 quality starts and averaging 8.37 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, he went six innings, giving up one earned run on four hits. Burnes picked up the win in that start. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings. So far, he has been much better on the road, coming in with a record of 5-2 and an ERA of 2.86 compared to 5-2 with a 2.10 ERA at home.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Not only are the Orioles the league’s top home run hitting team, but they also have the best isolated power in the league, and they are 3rd in the MLB in runs scored at 4.9 runs per game. They are even better on the road, averaging 5.3 runs per contest. As a team, they are batting .252, which is 6th in the league.
Anthony Santander has been swinging a hot bat for the Orioles, batting .333 over his last nine games with four homers. For the season, he is hitting .243 with 27 homers and 66 RBIs. Santander is also on a 10-game hitting streak. Gunnar Henderson is batting .285 for the season and leads the team with 28 homers.
Miami is 5th in the NL East, 27 games behind the Phillies. They have a 37-65 record and are 5-5 in their last 10 games. The Marlins are leading the Orioles 2-0 in the current series and have won two straight games.
Against the run line, Miami is 47-55 overall and 45-40 as underdogs. The over/under line for today’s game is 8.5 runs, and the Marlins have an 18-16 O/U record in games with that line. For the season, their over/under record is 55-45.
Roddery Muñoz Gets The Start For The Marlins
Miami is sending Roddery Muñoz to the mound today vs. the Orioles. He has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 1-5 with an ERA of 5.14. Muñoz’s WHIP for the season is currently 1.39. In his 10 starts, he has turned in two quality starts and is averaging 7.55 strikeouts per nine innings. Muñoz’s last outing came vs. the Mets, where he took the loss, going five innings and giving up one earned run. Before that, he had given up at least two earned runs in three straight outings.
Marlins Offense Breakdown
Heading into today’s game, the Marlins are the worst scoring team in the league, averaging just 3.5 runs per contest. This number drops to 3 runs per game when they are on the road. As a team, they are also near the bottom of the league in home runs and have the worst isolated power number in the league. Collectively, the Marlins are batting .236, which is 14th in the league.
Bryan De La Cruz has been the Marlins’ top power threat this season, as his 17 homers is 13th in the league. He is also 2nd on the team with 46 RBIs. Jazz Chisholm Jr. has gone deep 13 times this season and is hitting .251. Over his last seven games, Jake Burger has gone 7/27 with two homers, while Xavier Edwards is hitting .429 in this stretch.
Orioles vs Marlins Prediction
Our predicted final score for this Orioles and Marlins matchup is 6-4 in favor of the Orioles. However, with the payout for an Orioles win being -268, we recommend taking the over at 8.5 runs, with the payout being -110.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with seven strikeouts, and he is one of the best pitchers in terms of getting a win today. As for Roddery Muñoz, he is projected to finish with just four strikeouts and is one of the worst starters in terms of getting a win.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:July 25, 2024 Marlins, Orioles