The Baltimore Orioles (42-22) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (31-34) on Monday, June 10th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on FS1. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Orioles. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.
Orioles vs Rays
Baltimore cruised to a 9-2 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Orioles had a huge 2nd inning, scoring eight of their nine runs. As for the Rays, they scored their only two runs in the 4th. Heading into the game, the Orioles were favored at -144 on the money line.
Grayson Rodriguez got the win for the Orioles, going just 5 2/3 innings but giving up just two hits and two earned runs. Zack Littell had a rough outing for the Rays, taking the loss after going six innings and giving up three earned runs on seven hits.
At the plate, the Orioles were led by Adley Rutschman and Jordan Westburg, as they were the only two Orioles hitters to have more than one hit. Rutschman, Anthony Santander, Colton Cowser, and Gunnar Henderson each had two RBIs.
With an overall record of 42-22, the Orioles are 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 2.5 games. Baltimore has won three straight games, and they have been good against other teams in the AL East, putting together a mark of 16-6 so far. The Orioles are also 21-12 at home and 21-10 on the road this season.
So far, the Orioles have been really good as the favorite, going 35-18, and they have been good as the road favorite, putting together a record of 15-7. Baltimore’s overall series record is 13-4-3, and they are currently up 3-0 in the series vs. the Rays.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a solid bet to cover the run line, going 21-10 on the run line this season. They have covered the run line in 11 straight road games and are 5-0 ATS in their last five games overall. They are 9-2 ATS as an underdog this season.
When the Orioles are on the road this season, the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs just seven times. In those games, the over has hit four times and the under has hit three times. Overall, the Orioles have played 57 games with an average combined run average of 8.8 runs per game. Their over/under record for the season is 33-24, and the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs in 78.1% of their games.
Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles
Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. He has made 13 starts this season and has a record of 6-2 with a 2.26 ERA. Burnes has been tough to hit this year, as opponents are batting just .190 off him. In his 13 appearances, he has turned in 10 quality starts. Looking back at his last outing, Burnes gave up just one earned run in seven innings of work, picking up the win. He has won each of his last two starts.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Adley Rutschman has been one of the Orioles’ most consistent hitters this season, batting .306 with 13 home runs and 49 RBIs. He has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 7/22 in his last five games with three homers and nine RBIs. Anthony Santander has also gone deep three times in his last five games, going 5/19 over that stretch. For the season, he is batting just .227.
The Orioles come into the game as the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have also been the best home run-hitting team in the league this season. As a team, they are batting .249 and have the league’s best isolated power number at .203.
Tampa Bay is looking to pick up a win today, as they are 31-34 overall and trail the Yankees by 14 games in the AL East. Currently, they are in 5th place in the division and have dropped three straight games heading into today’s matchup vs. the Orioles. So far, they are just 10-16 in AL East matchups.
The Rays have really struggled at home this year, going 17-21 compared to 14-13 on the road. This season, the Rays are just 4-8 as the home underdog, and they are 20-19 when favored. Tampa Bay’s overall series record is 9-9-2, and they trail the Orioles 0-3 in this series.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a team to fade at home, as they are just 11-27 against the run line at Tropicana Field. They have lost six straight run line bets at home, and they have been a run line underdog in 26 of their 39 losses against the run line this season.
Today’s over/under line of 7.5 runs for the Tampa Bay Rays’ game against the Baltimore Orioles is lower than their season average of 8.7 runs per game. The Rays have played 46 games this season with higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and their over/under record for the season is 34-30. When the over/under line has been set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit in 12 of their 17 games.
Ryan Pepiot Gets The Start For The Rays
Ryan Pepiot gets the start for the Rays today and is facing the Orioles at home. So far this season, he has made 10 starts and has a record of 4-2 with an ERA of 3.96. Looking at his overall numbers, Pepiot has a WHIP of .95 and opponents are batting .181 this season. In his 10 starts, he has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 10.15 strikeouts per nine innings. Pepiot’s most recent outing came against the Marlins, where he picked up the win, going six innings and giving up three earned runs. Before that, he had three straight outings where he finished with a no-decision.
Rays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rays are averaging just 3.9 runs per game, which is 26th in the league. This is a team that has really struggled to hit for power, as they are dead last in the league in home runs. As a team, they are batting .233, which is 16th in the league, and have a collective on-base percentage of just .306.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays this season, as he is batting .288 and has gone deep a team-high 10 times. Paredes also leads the team with 37 RBIs. Randy Arozarena is 2nd on the team with 8 homers but is batting just .179. Over his last nine games, Jose Siri is hitting .300 with three home runs.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction
We really like the payout for the Rays to pick up a win at +130. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Rays. If you’re looking to take the over/under, we would recommend taking the over at 7.5.
Looking at the starting pitchers, Ryan Pepiot is projected to finish with four strikeouts, and Corbin Burnes is projected to finish with six. However, Burnes is projected to finish with a better ERA than Pepiot.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 10, 2024 Orioles, Rays