The Baltimore Orioles (39-22) travel to face off against the Tampa Bay Rays (31-31) on Friday, June 7th. This game will be played at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg and televised on MASN. The Rays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 5:50 CT.
Orioles vs Rays
Adley Rutschman had a big game for the Orioles in their most recent game vs. the Blue Jays, going 2/4 with two homers and three RBIs. The Orioles really got things going in the 2nd inning, with Rutschman hitting a two-run homer, and Ryan O’Hearn adding another two-run homer. However, the Orioles couldnjson’t hold the lead, as the Blue Jays scored three runs in the 3rd to take the lead. Baltimore was the +107 underdog going into this road game.
Cade Povich got the start for the Orioles and took the loss. He only lasted 5 1/3 innings, giving up six earned runs on five hits. Adley Rutschman was hot early, going 2/2 with two homers, but the Orioles couldnjson’t keep things going, and he went ‘t 2/4.
Baltimore is 39-22 overall this season, and they trail the Yankees by 4.5 games in the AL East. The Orioles lost the final two games of their series vs. the Blue Jays and are 6-4 across their last ten games. In the AL East, they have gone 13-6 while playing well as the favorite, putting together a mark of 32-18.
On the road, the Orioles are 18-10 this season and have gone 21-12 at home. As the road favorite, Baltimore is 12-7 this year, and their overall series record is 13-4-3. So far, they have been good as the favorite, going 32-18, and they are 7-4 when the underdog.
When the Orioles are on the road, they have been a good bet to cover the run line, going 18-10. Their average run margin in those games is 1.5. They have covered the run line in eight straight road games and are 9-2 in that spot as an underdog.
The Orioles are on the road against the Rays today, and the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs. Baltimore has a combined run average of 8.8 runs per game this season, and their over/under record is 31-23. Their games have averaged a total of 8 runs per game this season, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 3-3. Overall, 78.7% of their games this season have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs.
Cole Irvin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Cole Irvin gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Rays on the road. So far this season, he has made nine starts and has a record of 5-2 with an ERA of 2.84. Looking at his overall numbers, Irvin has made four quality starts and is averaging 5.84 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Irvin went 6 1/3 innings, giving up two earned runs, and finished with a no-decision. Before that, he had won two straight starts. The left-hander has been much better at home, coming in with an ERA of 2.44 compared to 4.28 on the road.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Henderson’s 19 homers being 2nd in the league and Rutschman’s 12 homers being 9th. Rutschman is also hitting .307 for the season and has gone 12/34 with two homers in his last eight games. Ryan Mountcastle has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/35 with four homers in his last nine games.
As a team, the Orioles are the league’s top scoring offense at 5.1 runs per game, and they have the top home run total in the MLB. Baltimore is also the league’s top team in terms of isolated power. Overall, they are batting .247 and have the league’s top slugging percentage. They have been a good home and road offense this season, averaging 5.1 runs in both situations.
Heading into their last game vs. the Marlins, the Rays closed out the series with a 5-3 win. Leading up to thethe game, they were the slight favorite at -129 on the money line. It was a good start for the Rays, as they got on the board with three runs in the 1st inning and added another two runs in the 3rd.
Zach Eflin put together a good start for the Rays, going four innings and giving up just two runs on three hits. He only had three strikeouts in the outing and got the win. The Rays’s offense was carried by Isaac Paredes, who went 2/4 with three RBIs.
Tampa Bay is currently at an even 31-31 overall, and they are 4th in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 13 games. The Rays head into today’s game on a three-game winning streak, and they took the final two games of their series vs. the Marlins. So far, they are 10-13 in AL East matchups.
At home, the Rays are 17-18 this season and have gone 14-13 on the road. As the favorite, Tampa Bay is 20-19 and 11-12 as the underdog. They have won two straight at home, and their overall series record is 9-9-2 this year.
When it comes to the run line, the Rays have been a better bet on the road than at home. They are 15-12 against the run line on the road, compared to 11-24 at home. They are also 13-10 against the run line as an underdog, compared to 13-26 as a favorite. Overall, their average run margin is -0.8, but in their wins, it’s +2.3, while in their losses, it’s -3.8.
When the Tampa Bay Rays play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season, with their games averaging 8.8 runs per game. The over/under record for the Rays is 32-29, and when the line is set at 7.5 runs, the over has hit at an 11-5 clip. Overall, 71% of their games have had higher over/under lines than 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last two contests.
Aaron Civale Gets The Start For The Rays
Tampa Bay is sending Aaron Civale to the mound today vs. the Orioles, and he will be looking to build off his last outing, where he gave up just one earned run in 5 1/3 innings of work. In that outing vs. the Orioles, he finished with a no-decision. Looking back over his last four outings, Civale has finished with a no-decision in three of them. He has made 12 starts this year and has a record of 2-4 to go along with a 5.37 ERA. Opposing batters are hitting .263 off Civale this year, and his WHIP is 1.34.
Rays Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Rays offense is averaging just 4 runs per game, which is 23rd in the league. They have been even worse at home, averaging only 3.9 runs per game. As a team, they are batting .236, which is 15th in the league, and their on-base percentage of .311 is 12th. One of the few bright spots for the Rays offense has been their team BABIP of .30, which is 5th in the league.
Isaac Paredes has been a bright spot for the Rays offense, as he is batting .298 for the season and has gone deep 10 times. He also leads the team with 37 RBIs. Paredes is currently on a seven-game hitting streak. Amed Rosario has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/22 in his last six games.
Orioles vs Rays Prediction
Our pick for this Orioles vs. Rays matchup is to take the Orioles on the money line at -117. We have the Orioles winning this one by a final score of 5-4. If you’re looking for a parlay, you could also look to take the Orioles on the money line and take the over, as the line is sitting at 7.5 runs.
Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Cole Irvin finishing with five strikeouts, while Aaron Civale is projected to finish with five as well. However, we have Civale going fewer innings than Irvin, so you could also look to take the Orioles on the money line and then look to take the over on the starting pitcher props.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:June 7, 2024 Orioles, Rays