Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction 9/11/2024

The Tampa Bay Rays (71-74) travel to face off against the Philadelphia Phillies (87-58) on Wednesday, September 11th. This game will be played at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia and televised on BSSUN. The Phillies are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Rays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Phillies. First pitch is set for 5:40 CT.

Rays vs. Phillies Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Phillies (-204)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 7.5 Runs
  • Phillies have won 8 of their last 10 games.
  • Phillies have a home record of 49-25, one of the best in the league.
  • Phillies have outscored their opponents 52-45 in their last 15 games.
  • Phillies have a 2-game winning streak against the Rays in their most recent series.
  • Phillies have scored 5 or more runs in 9 of their last 15 games.

Rays vs Phillies

tampa bay rays nba

Philadelphia cruised to a 9-4 win over the Rays in the most recent game of this series. The Phillies had a huge 8th inning, scoring five of their nine runs. As for the Rays, they scored their final run in the 6th. Heading into the game, the Phillies were favored at -181 on the money line.

Trea Turner was the difference for the Phillies, as he went 3/5 with two homers and four RBIs. Kyle Schwarber also homered for Philadelphia, going 1/1 with two RBIs.

Ranger Suarez only went 5 1/3 innings for the Phillies but gave up just two hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts but issued two walks. Jose Alvarado got the win out of the bullpen.

Heading into today’s game, the Rays are 71-74 overall and trail the Yankees by 12 games in the AL East, sitting in 4th place. They are 2 games behind the Red Sox for 3rd place in the division. The Rays have a 22-18-6 series record this season.

On the run line, the Rays are 40-30 as the underdog and 24-41 as the favorite. The average run total in their games is 8.1, resulting in a 65-72 over/under record. The over/under record for games with a total line of 7.5 runs is 23-25.

Shane Baz Gets The Start For The Rays

Tampa Bay is sending right-hander Shane Baz to the mound today as he faces the Phillies on the road. Baz has made 10 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with an ERA of 3.27. In his last outing, he took the loss, going six innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Baz has pitched well on the road, coming in with a record of 1-2 and an ERA of 2.95. At home, his ERA is 4.17.

Rays Offense Breakdown

Yandy Diaz comes into the game with a three-game hitting streak and has been on fire at the plate of late, going 10/25 in his last six games with two homers. For the season, he is batting .280 with a team-high 65 RBIs. Jonny DeLuca has also been swinging a hot bat, going 11/31 in his last eight games.

As a team, the Rays are batting just .231, which is 19th in the league, and are averaging only 3.9 runs per game. This is also the 24th home run hitting team in the league, and they are near the bottom of the league in both slugging and OPS.

Philadelphia has a 87-58 record and an 8-game lead over the Mets in the NL East. They have won four straight games at home and are 49-25 at home this season. Against the run line, they are 56-61 overall, with a +1.2 run differential per game.

As favorites, the Phillies have a 74-43 straight-up record and a 56-61 run line record. Their games have averaged 9.0 runs, resulting in a 68-70 over/under record. The average total line for their games is 8 runs, with 73.1% of their games having higher totals than 7.5 runs.

Zack Wheeler Gets The Start For The Phillies

Right-hander Zack Wheeler is getting the start for the Phillies today as he faces off against the Rays. Wheeler comes into the game with a record of 14-6 and an ERA of 2.59. So far this year, he has made 28 starts, and opponents are batting .188 off him this year. Wheeler has made 22 quality starts this year and is averaging 9.85 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Wheeler gave up just one earned run in six innings of work, picking up the win. Before that, he had given up two earned runs in three straight starts.

Phillies Offense Breakdown

philadelphia phillies

Heading into today’s game, the Phillies are 5th in the league in scoring at 4.9 runs per game. They have been even better at home, averaging 5.1 runs per contest. Overall, they are one of the league’s top home run-hitting teams, and they have the 4th best team batting average in the league. Philadelphia also comes into the game with a team-wide batting average of .260, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB.

Over his last eight games, Kyle Schwarber has gone 14/31 with seven homers and 13 RBIs. For the season, Schwarber’s 35 homers are the best mark on the team and 9th best in the MLB. Bryce Harper is also having a strong season for the Phillies, as he is batting .291 with 26 homers and 79 RBIs.

Rays vs Phillies Prediction

Our prediction for today’s Rays vs. Phillies matchup is to take the Phillies to win at -204. However, with a moneyline payout of -204, we recommend taking the over at 7.5 runs, as you can get a payout of +100.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Zack Wheeler finishing with seven strikeouts and Shane Baz with just four. Wheeler is also the second-best pitcher in terms of picking up a win, while Baz is 12th.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.