Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 7/30/2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (50-57) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (63-44) on Tuesday, July 30th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on SNET. The Blue Jays are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Blue Jays. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.

Blue Jays vs. Orioles Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-201)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
  • The Orioles have scored an average of 6.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • Baltimore has won 4 of their last 5 home games against the Blue Jays.
  • The Orioles have a higher home win percentage (.561) compared to the Blue Jays’ away win percentage (.453).
  • Baltimore has a better overall record (63-44) compared to Toronto (50-57).
  • The Orioles have outscored their opponents by a total of 15 runs in their last 5 home games.

Blue Jays vs Orioles

toronto blue jays nba

Toronto cruised to an easy 8-4 win over the Orioles in the most recent game of this series. The Blue Jays had a huge 2nd inning, scoring six of their eight runs. As for the Orioles, they scored their final two runs in the 7th. Heading into the game, the Blue Jays were at +129 on the money line.

Bowden Francis only went 5 2/3 innings for the Blue Jays but gave up just three hits and two earned runs. He finished the game with two strikeouts and one home run allowed. On the other side, Cade Povich was tagged for three homers and five runs in just 4 1/3 innings of work.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game’s first home run while going 4/5 with three RBIs and two runs scored. He was one of four Blue Jays hitters to have a multi-hit game. Jordan Westburg also had a two-hit game for the Orioles and hit the game’s final home run.

When favored, the Blue Jays have a solid 33-24 record straight up, but as underdogs, they are just 17-33. Their overall record is 50-57, and they are 24-29 on the road. Toronto has an even 6-4 record in their last 10 games, and they are 5th in the AL East, 13 games behind the Orioles.

This season, Blue Jays games have averaged 9.0 runs, and their over/under record is 58-46. The over has hit in their last seven games, and when the O/U line is 8.5 runs, their record is 18-18. Heading into today’s game, the O/U line is 8.5 runs.

Chris Bassitt Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Chris Bassitt gets the start for the Blue Jays today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA. Looking at his overall numbers, opponents are batting .256 this season. Bassitt has turned in nine quality starts this year and is coming off a rough outing where he took the loss, giving up three earned runs in five innings of work. Before that, he had given up at least four earned runs in three straight starts. The right-hander did have a stretch where he didn’t allow a homer in four straight outings, but he has given up a homer in each of his last two starts.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. is not only the Blue Jays’ top power threat, but he is also hitting .311 for the season and is coming off a stretch in which he went 15/26 with four homers in his last seven games. Guerrero Jr. is also on a 12-game hitting streak. George Springer and Daulton Varsho are also among the team’s leaders in homers, but Springer is batting just .228, and Varsho is hitting only .199.

As a team, the Blue Jays are just 23rd in runs per game at 4.1. This is a result of being near the bottom of the league in home runs and having a team batting average of just .240. Overall, their on-base percentage, slugging percentage, and OPS numbers are all just around league average.

With a 63-44 record, the Orioles lead the AL East by a half-game over the Yankees. They have gone 21-10 against divisional opponents and are 51-35 as favorites. Baltimore’s run line record is 57-50, including a 30-20 mark on the road.

Today’s O/U line of 8.5 runs is low compared to their season average of 9.3 runs per game. The over has hit in 18 games with an 8.5 O/U line, and their overall O/U record is 58-39. The Orioles are looking to end a two-series losing streak by winning today’s game against the Blue Jays.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Right-hander Corbin Burnes gets the start for the Orioles today as he faces the Blue Jays at home. He has made 21 starts this season and has a record of 10-4 with a 2.46 ERA. Burnes has a WHIP of 1.04 and has turned in 17 quality starts this year. Looking back at his last outing, Burnes finished with a no-decision against the Marlins, giving up three earned runs in 7 1/3 innings of work. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Burnes has been much better at home, coming in with a 2.10 ERA compared to 2.94 on the road.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

baltimore orioles

Not only do the Orioles lead the league in home runs, but they are also the top team in terms of isolated power, with a team-wide ISO of .198. As a team, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 2nd in the league. This season, they are batting a collective .254, and their team on-base percentage of .317 is good for 9th in the league.

Anthony Santander and Gunnar Henderson are the Orioles’ top two home run hitters this season, with 30 and 28 homers, respectively. Henderson is batting .283 for the season, while Santander comes in at .243. Over his last seven games, Santander has gone 7/28 with three homers. Colton Cowser has also been swinging a hot bat of late, going 10/25 in his last seven games.

Blue Jays vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for the Blue Jays vs. Orioles game is to take the over, with the line sitting at 8.5 runs. We actually have the Orioles winning this one 5-4, but with a payout of -201 for a money line bet, we are recommending the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Corbin Burnes finishing with five strikeouts, which is good for fifth worst among starters. As for Chris Bassitt, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which is right in the middle of the pack.

If you are looking for a payout, you could look to parlay an Orioles win with a player prop. One option would be to take an Orioles player to hit a home run, as we have them finishing with the fifth most home runs in the league today.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.