Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction 8/4/2024

The Toronto Blue Jays (51-60) travel to face off against the New York Yankees (66-46) on Sunday, August 4th. This game will be played at Yankee Stadium in New York and televised on SNET. The Yankees are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Blue Jays are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Yankees. First pitch is set for 12:35 CT.

Blue Jays vs. Yankees Betting Prediction

  • Money Line Prediction: Yankees (-236)
  • Over/Under Prediction: Over 9.5 Runs
  • The Yankees have scored an average of 7.2 runs per game in their last 5 home games.
  • The Yankees have won 4 out of their last 5 home games.
  • The Yankees have a head-to-head record of 3-2 against the Blue Jays in their last 5 meetings.
  • The Yankees have a better overall record (66-46) compared to the Blue Jays (51-60).
  • The Yankees have a winning streak of 1 game, while the Blue Jays are on a losing streak of 1 game.

Blue Jays vs Yankees

toronto blue jays nba

New York picked up an 8-3 win over the Blue Jays in the most recent game of this series. The Yankees had a huge 1st inning, scoring two of their three runs. As for the Blue Jays, they scored their first run in the 2nd and added their final two runs in the 6th.

Carlos Rodón got the win for the Yankees, going 5 1/3 innings and giving up three earned runs. José Berríos had a rough outing for the Blue Jays, taking the loss after going five innings and giving up five earned runs.

Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hit the game’s only home run while going 3/4 with two RBIs, but it came in a losing effort. Anthony Volpe did a bit of everything for the Yankees, going 2/4 with a home run and three RBIs.

When favored, the Blue Jays have a 33-24 record straight up, but their overall record is 51-60, placing them 5th in the AL East, 14.5 games behind the Orioles. On the run line, they are 34-23 on the road, but 18-36 at home, with an average run margin of +3.1 in wins and -4.1 in losses.

With an over/under record of 61-47, the Blue Jays have played just 1 game with a 9.5 run total, which went over. Their games have averaged 9.1 runs per game this season, and today’s O/U line is set at 9.5 runs.

Yariel Rodríguez Gets The Start For The Blue Jays

Toronto is sending Yariel Rodríguez to the mound today, and he comes in with a record of 1-4 and ERA of 4.31. So far, he has made 10 starts and 10 appearances. Rodríguez has a WHIP of 1.36 and batting average allowed of .207. In his last outing, he took the loss, going just two-thirds of an inning and giving up three earned runs. Looking back over his last three outings, he has finished with a no-decision in two of them. One of those no-decisions came at home, where he has an ERA of 2.97 compared to 13.5 on the road.

Blue Jays Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Blue Jays are averaging 4.1 runs per game, which is 24th in the league. This is a result of their home and road splits being very similar, as they are averaging 4.3 runs on the road and 4.0 at home. As a team, they are batting .240, which is 14th in the league, and they have the 22nd ranked home run total in the league.

One of the Blue Jays’ strengths is their ability to avoid strikeouts, as they have the 5th fewest strikeouts in the league. Vladimir Guerrero Jr. has been one of the league’s top hitters this season, with a batting average of .318 and 22 home runs. He has also been red hot of late, going 11/18 in his last five games.

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are tied for the AL East lead with the Orioles, both teams holding a 66-46 record. The Yankees have won two straight series and have an overall series record of 19-11-4. They have a 6-4 record in their last 10 games, with an average run margin of 4.2 runs in their wins and -3.3 runs in their losses.

As underdogs, the Yankees have an impressive 18-6 record, but as favorites, they are 48-40 straight up. Their over/under record for the season is 62-46, and when the total is set at 9.5 runs, the over has hit in 8 of 11 games. Today’s O/U line is 9.5 runs, and the over has hit in their last 9 games overall.

Gerrit Cole Gets The Start For The Yankees

New York is sending Gerrit Cole to the mound today vs. the Blue Jays, and he will be looking to bounce back from his last outing, where he took the loss. Against the Mets on July 24th, Cole gave up six earned runs in 5 2/3 innings of work. Before that outing, he had picked up the win in two straight starts. Cole’s ERA for the season is 5.40, along with a record of 3-2. Opponents are batting .271 off Cole this season, and his WHIP is currently 1.46. Looking back at his overall numbers, Cole has made seven starts, and opponents have hit nine homers off him at home compared to six on the road.

Yankees Offense Breakdown

new york yankees

Heading into today’s game, the Yankees are the league’s top-scoring offense, averaging 5.2 runs per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 5.6 runs per contest. The Yankees are also the league’s top on-base percentage team and have the best OPS in the league. As a team, they are batting .251, which is 9th in the league.

Yankees’ center fielder Aaron Judge has been on fire of late, going 15/34 in his last nine games with six homers and 14 RBIs. For the season, he is batting .321 with 41 homers and 103 RBIs. Judge’s 41 homers are the most in the league. Right fielder Juan Soto is also putting together a great season, as he is batting .308 with 27 homers, which is 6th best in the league.

Blue Jays vs Yankees Prediction

Our predicted final score for this one is 7-6 in favor of the Yankees, which would have them winning by one run. However, with the money line payout for a Yankees win being -236, we recommend taking the over at 9.5 runs, where the payout is +102.

Looking at the starting pitchers, we have Gerrit Cole finishing with eight strikeouts, which is the highest projection for any starter today. As for Yariel Rodríguez, we have him finishing with six K’s, which is the sixth-best among starters.


All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!


* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.