Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles MLB Betting Prediction

MLB Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction 5/29/2024

The Boston Red Sox (28-27) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (34-19) on Wednesday, May 29th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Red Sox are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Orioles are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Red Sox. First pitch is set for 6:35 ET.

Red Sox vs Orioles

boston red sox nba

It was all Boston in the last game of this series, as the Red Sox took down the Orioles by a score of 8-3. The Red Sox offense only had two more hits than the Orioles and struck out 11 times, but still picked up a convincing win. Heading into the game, they were at +148 on the money line.

This game featured a starting pitching matchup between Brayan Bello for the Red Sox and Grayson Rodriguez for the Orioles. Bello only went five innings but gave up just three hits and three earned runs. On the other side, Rodriguez was tagged for four runs in six innings of work.

Boston’s two and three hitters, Rob Refsnyder and Wilyer Abreu, each homered and combined for five RBIs. Rafael Devers also had a big game at the plate, going 4/5 with two RBIs.

Boston is 28-27 overall and trails the Yankees by 8.5 games in the AL East. So far, they are 5-7 in divisional matchups. The Red Sox are on the road today, and they are 17-12 as the road team compared to 11-15 at home.

This season, the Red Sox have been the favorite in 25 games, and they have an overall record of 14-11 in those games. As the underdog, Boston is 14-16. The Red Sox’ overall series record is 8-8-1, and they have dropped two straight series at home.

When the Red Sox are on the road, they have a run line record of 18-11, covering the spread in 62.1% of their games. Their average run margin on the road is +1.6 runs per game, and their average run margin in all games is +0.5 runs per game.

The Boston Red Sox are on the road facing the Baltimore Orioles today. The over/under line for the game is set at 7.5 runs. The Red Sox have a combined run average of 8.3 runs per game this season. Their over/under record for the season is 21-30, and their average over/under line is set at 8 runs. When the over/under line is set at 7.5 runs, their record is 6-8. They have had 40 games with over/under lines set higher than 7.5 runs, which accounts for 72.7% of their games. They have only had 1 game with an over/under line set lower than 7.5 runs this season. The over has hit in their last 2 games.

Kutter Crawford Gets The Start For The Red Sox

Right-hander Kutter Crawford is getting the start for the Red Sox today as he faces the Orioles on the road. He has made 11 starts this year and has a record of 2-3 with a 2.89 ERA. Crawford’s WHIP for the season is 1.20, and opponents are batting .231 off him this year. In his 11 starts, Crawford has turned in five quality starts and is averaging 8.81 strikeouts per nine innings. The last time he pitched, Crawford gave up six earned runs in 4 1/3 innings of work. He took the loss in that outing.

Red Sox Offense Breakdown

So far this season, the Red Sox are averaging 4.4 runs per game, which is 12th in the league. One thing to note is that they have been much better on the road, averaging 4.9 runs per game compared to just 3.8 at home. As a team, they are batting .244, and their team on-base percentage of .314 is 10th in the MLB. Boston’s offense has also been good at avoiding strikeouts, but they are just 14th in walks.

Heading into today’s game, Ceddanne Rafaela is on a four-game hitting streak and is the team’s current leader in RBIs. Over his last six games, Wilyer Abreu is 8/22 with two homers and five RBIs. Rafael Devers is also a player to watch, as he is 2nd on the team in RBIs and has gone deep 10 times this season.

Baltimore is 34-19 overall this season and is 2nd in the AL East, trailing the Yankees by 1.5 games. So far, they have gone 8-3 in divisional matchups. The Orioles are 18-11 at home compared to 16-8 on the road.

As the favorite, the Orioles have put together a record of 27-17 this season, and they are 7-2 as the underdog. Baltimore’s overall series record is 11-4-2, and they are 1-1 in their current series vs. the Red Sox. They have gone 6-4 over their last 10 games.

When the Orioles win, they win big, with an average run margin of 3.6 runs per game. That’s helped them to a 29-24 run line record overall, including a 15-14 mark at home. They’ve been a better bet on the run line on the road, going 14-10, and as an underdog, where they’re 7-2.

When the Orioles play at home, the over has been a popular bet this season. Baltimore’s games have averaged 8.8 runs per game, and their over/under record is 27-20. The over/under line for today’s game is set at 7.5 runs, and the over has hit in two straight games for the Orioles.

Corbin Burnes Gets The Start For The Orioles

Through 11 starts, Corbin Burnes has a record of 4-2 and an ERA of 2.60. He has made eight quality starts this year and is coming off an outing in which he gave up three earned runs in six innings of work. In that outing vs. the White Sox, he gave up two homers. Burnes has given up at least one homer in three of his last four starts. The right-hander’s ERA at home is 2.04 compared to 3.70 on the road. Opponents are batting .202 off Burnes this season.

Orioles Offense Breakdown

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Adley Rutschman and Gunnar Henderson have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, as Rutschman is 2nd on the team with 10 homers and Henderson is 1st on the team and 2nd in the league with 17 long balls. Rutschman comes into the game with a team-high 37 RBIs and is batting .299 for the season. Henderson is batting .259 overall. Rutschman has gone 8/30 in his last eight games, while Henderson has struggled a bit, going 5/28 in that stretch.

As a team, the Orioles are 3rd in the league in scoring at 5 runs per game. They are also one of the league’s top home run-hitting clubs, and they have the best isolated power in the league. Baltimore’s team batting average of .244 is 10th in the league, and they have the league’s 5th best OPS.

Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction

Our prediction for this Red Sox and Orioles matchup is to take the over, with the line sitting at 7.5 runs. Our predicted final score is 6-5 in favor of the Orioles, giving us a good amount of cushion if you want to take the over.

Looking at the starting pitchers, our projections have Corbin Burnes finishing with six strikeouts, which is good for fourth best among all starters today. As for Kutter Crawford, he is projected to finish with five strikeouts, which has him right in the middle of the pack.

All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!

* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.