The Boston Red Sox (63-56) travel to face off against the Baltimore Orioles (71-50) on Thursday, August 15th. This game will be played at Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore and televised on MASN. The Orioles are coming off a win in their previous game, while the Red Sox are looking to get back on track from a loss to the Rangers. First pitch is set for 5:35 CT.
Red Sox vs. Orioles Betting Prediction
- Money Line Prediction: Orioles (-144)
- Over/Under Prediction: Over 8.5 Runs
- The Orioles have won 9 of their last 15 games, showing strong recent performance.
- In their last 15 games, the Orioles have scored an average of 5.2 runs per game, indicating a potent offense.
- The Orioles have a 6-4 record in their last 10 home games, demonstrating solid home-field advantage.
- In their last 3 home games against the Red Sox, the Orioles have outscored them 20-12, showing dominance in head-to-head matchups.
- The Orioles have a better overall record (71-50) compared to the Red Sox (63-56), indicating a stronger season performance.
Red Sox vs Orioles
The Orioles Took The Last Game Of This Series
Boston is coming off a game in which they wasted several good performances. In their 9-7 loss to the Rangers, Tanner Houck was excellent on the mound, allowing just two runs while pitching into the 6th inning. They also got a big offensive performance from Wilyer Abreu, going 1/5 with a homer and three RBIs.
Zack Kelly took the loss out of the bullpen for the Red Sox, as Boston allowed three runs in the top of the 10th to blow their lead. Heading into this game, the Red Sox were favored at -137 at home.
On the road, the Red Sox have a 34-24 record and a 33-25 mark against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.8 runs, and the over has hit at a 63-49 clip for the season. Boston is 29-31 as the underdog and has won two straight series on the road.
Boston is 63-56 overall and is 7.5 games behind the Yankees in the AL East. They currently trail the Orioles by 0.5 games for the second spot in the division. The Red Sox have a series record of 20-13-5 this season.
Nick Pivetta Gets The Start For The Red Sox
Through 18 starts, Nick Pivetta has a record of 5-7 and an ERA of 4.44. This year, he has made seven quality starts and is averaging 11.05 strikeouts per nine innings. In his last outing, Pivetta finished with a no-decision, going 4 2/3 innings and giving up two earned runs on five hits. Before that, he had won two straight starts. Pivetta’s ERA on the road is 5.18 compared to 6.22 at home. Opponents are batting .229 off the right-hander this season.
Red Sox Offense Breakdown
Over their last eight games, Masataka Yoshida has gone 10/30 (.333) with two homers and five RBIs. For the season, he is batting .290 and is 3rd on the team with 14 home runs. Rafael Devers is the team’s top power threat, as his 25 homers are 1st on the team and 11th in the league. Devers is also hitting .299 for the season and has driven in 72 runs, which is the best mark on the team.
The Red Sox offense has been one of the best in the league this season, as they are 4th in runs per game and have the 2nd best team batting average in the league. They are also one of the top home run hitting teams in the league and have the best team BABIP in the league. As a team, the Red Sox are also 3rd in slugging and OPS.
The Orioles Are Coming Off A Win
Heading into their last game vs. the Nationals, the Orioles closed out the series with a 4-1 win. Leading up to the game, they were the heavy favorite at -171. Offensively, the Orioles scored their four runs on seven hits and only had one home run.
Dean Kremer put together a good start for the Orioles, going six innings and giving up just one earned run, and picking up the win. Baltimore’s bullpen closed things out with Seranthony Dominguez getting the save.
As the favorite, the Orioles have a 59-39 record straight up and a 50-48 record against the run line. Their games have averaged 9.3 runs per game this season, resulting in a 67-44 over/under record. Baltimore’s overall run line record is 66-55, and they are 30-31 at home vs. the run line.
Baltimore is 71-50 overall and trail the Yankees by just a half-game in the AL East. They are 26-13 against other teams in the division. Today, the Orioles host the Red Sox, who are 7.5 games out of the division lead.
Zach Eflin Gets The Start For The Orioles
Zach Eflin has been pitching well for the Orioles, as he has won each of his last three starts. Most recently, he faced the Rays on August 9th and picked up the win, going seven innings and not giving up a run. In his 22 starts, Eflin has a record of 8-7 and an ERA of 3.83. Opponents are batting .257 off the right-hander this season. Eflin has made nine quality starts this year and is averaging 7.24 strikeouts per nine innings. For the season, he has only allowed 16 homers and is walking just 1.04 batters per nine innings.
Orioles Offense Breakdown
So far this season, the Orioles have been the best home run hitting team in the league and are also near the top of the league in terms of runs scored. As a team, they are batting .256, which is the 4th best mark in the MLB. Overall, they are averaging 5 runs per game, which is 3rd in the league.
Gunnar Henderson and Anthony Santander have been the Orioles’ top power threats this season, with Henderson batting .288 with 30 homers and Santander at .242 with 36 homers. Santander has gone deep four times in his last 10 games, but he is batting just .195 over that stretch. Henderson has gone 13/41 in his last 10 games, including two home runs.
Red Sox vs Orioles Prediction
Our prediction for today’s Red Sox vs. Orioles game is to take the Orioles on the money line at -144. We actually have the Orioles winning this one by a score of 6-5, which means there is some value on the over, as the line is currently sitting at 8.5 runs.
If you’re looking for a starting pitcher to pick up a win, Zach Eflin is a better option than Nick Pivetta. We have Eflin going six innings, while Pivetta is projected to go six. Pivetta is also projected to finish with six strikeouts, while Eflin is at five.
All odds are courtesy of Action247 Sportsbook. Good luck!!
* All odds are provided by Action247 Sportsbook and all odds subject to change.**All views expressed are my own. My picks are my own and are not a guarantee, bet at your own risk.Action247 does not warrant the accuracy of completeness of the information, text, graphics, links or other items contained within these post.
Last updated:August 15, 2024 Orioles, Red Sox